Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
Why Poverty Figures Can Be Misleading
Why Poverty Figures Can Be Misleading
Jan 14, 2026 2:18 AM

What if told you that between 90-100 percent of Americans are living in “healthcare poverty.” You would probably object and say that while the country certainly has a healthcare crisis, my numbers are surely inflated. After all, most people in the U.S. have access to healthcare.

In reply, I explain that while it’s true most people are able to consume healthcare services, they are still in poverty since those services are paid for at least partially by the government or private insurance. You would probably respond that I seem very confused on this issue. And you’d be right.

Yet when we hear reports that between 14 and 16 percent ofAmericans areliving in poverty, few people bother to ask, “Are they talking about consumption or e?”

The reason it matters is the same reason that most Americans are not in “healthcare poverty”: they are able to consume more goods and services than they are able to pay for with their e. As James X. Sullivan, an economics professor at Notre Dame, has explained:

“A different measure of poverty that’s based on consumption, rather than e, would not only measure poverty more accurately, but would lead to a better understanding of the effects of policy and would help lawmakers craft policies to better serve the nation’s poorest,” according to Sullivan, whose research examines the consumption, saving and borrowing behavior of poor households in the U.S., and how welfare and tax policy affects the well-being of the poor. The Census poverty measure ignores the effects of some of the most critical anti-poverty weapons, most notably the Earned e Tax Credit, Medicaid, food stamps, and housing subsidies.

e received from food stamps, for example, grew by more than $14 billion in 2009. By excluding these benefits in measuring poverty, the Census figures fail to recognize that the food stamps program lifts many people out of actual poverty,” Sullivan says. “If these programs are cut back in the future, actual poverty will rise even more.”

Using e-based numbers only also overlooks the struggles of many Americans who are tightening their belts – those who are worried about losing their jobs or facing foreclosure, or those who devote a large chunk of their paychecks to paying off medical bills. The standard of living for these people is lower than their e would suggest.

Another paper by Sullivan and co-author Bruce D. Meyer of the University of Chicago, argues that consumption offers a more robust measurement of poverty than e. When measured correctly, poverty has declined over time. From the abstract:

This paper examines changes in the extent of material deprivation in the United States from the early 1960s to 2009. We investigate how both e and consumption based poverty have changed over time and explore how these trends differ across family types. Estimates of changes in poverty over the past five decades are very sensitive to how resources are measured. A poverty measure that incorporates taxes falls noticeably more than a pre-tax e measure. Sharp differences are also evident between the patterns for e and consumption based poverty. e poverty falls more sharply than consumption poverty during the 1960s. The reverse is true for the 2000s, although in 2009 consumption poverty rises more than e poverty . . . e based poverty gaps have been rising over the last two decades while consumption based gaps have fallen. We show that how poverty is measured affects position of the poor, and that the consumption poor appear to be worse off than the e poor.

To see the stark difference it makes, look at this graph from the recentjoint report bythenew joint report from the (conservative) American Enterprise Institute and the (liberal) Brookings Institution:

AsRobert VerBruggen notes, “This [consumption-based] approach doesn’t always create low estimates; in the early 1970s, it sits right between the two other measures. But it shows dramatic improvement and a low poverty rate today. Even when the other rates are spiking, consumption poverty remains basically steady.”

Indeed, it doesn’t make sense to propose solutions for poverty and then exclude those very solutions from being considered when measuring the poverty rate, especially when the poverty-fighting initiatives have been effective.

If we’re going to have an honest and serious debate in this country about how to help the poor, we must consider the level of consumption by the poor—not just the numbers on their paycheck.

See also:What Christians Should Know About Consumption

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
Reply to George McGraw and Catholic World News on ‘The Right to Water’
Thanks to George McGraw, Executive Director of DigDeep Right to Water Project, for his kind and thoughtful Counterpoint to my original post. He and his organization are clearly dedicated to the noble cause of providing clean water and sanitation to all, a cause which everyone can and should support. It is also a very sensible objective that would aid the world’s poor much more than trendier causes such as “climate change” and “population control” which tend to view the human...
How “Free-Market Roads” Can Restrict Freedom
In a political climate dominated by debates about individual mandates and restrictions on religious freedoms, an issue like road privatization isn’t likely to be on the top of anyone’s list of major concerns. But theexcellent post on “The Mirage of Free-Market Roads” byTimothy B. Lee, a writer with Ars Technica and the Cato Institute, is worth reading even if you don’t care about toll roads. Leeprovides an intriguing example of why we need to think clearly about how we apply...
Video: Business as Mission 2.0
If you weren’t able to attend last week’s Acton Lecture Series event here at Acton’s Grand Rapids office, we’ve got you covered. we’re pleased to present video of Rudy Carrasco’s lecture, entitled “Business as Mission 2.0,” below. ...
The Reformed Journal and the Grand Rapids Intellectuals
The fine folks at Cardus, the noteworthy thinktank north of the border, have posted a review of The Best of the Reformed Journal. John Schmalzbauer, who teaches in the Department of Religious Studies at Missouri State University where he holds the Blanche Gorman Strong Chair in Protestant Studies, concludes about the situation sixty years after the founding of the Reformed Journal: Though the surnames remain the same, American politics has changed. Defending Franklin Roosevelt, Lester DeKoster once wrote that “laissez...
Samuel Gregg: The Left Resumes Its War on History
On The American Spectator, Acton Research Director Samuel Gregg examines how the left wages “a war of rejection and rationalization against whatever contradicts their mythologies.” Which explains why leftists get into a snit when you point out factual details like how Communist regimes “imprisoned, tortured, starved, experimented upon, enslaved, and exterminated millions” throughout the 20th century. And it makes it so much harder to wear that Che Guevara t-shirt without being mocked in public. Gregg: Overall, the left has been...
Marital Status and the Social Safety Net
“Unless incentives suddenly stopped mattering during this recession, saysCasey B. Mulligan, an economics professor at the University of Chicago, “it appears that the expanding social safety net explains some of the excess nonemployment among unmarried women who are heads of households.” An unintended but unavoidable consequence of providing someone a cushion when they are without work is that they are provided with less incentive to get back to work. By definition, married women have husbands and unmarried women do not,...
Why Our Struggling Economy Needs More Entrepreneurship
Harvard economics professor Edward Glaeser explains why entrepreneurs are important for our struggling economy: In every year since 1989, panies have created more net jobs than the economy as a whole, which means that panies are, on average, destroying more jobs than they create. In 2009, the latest year for which we have data, new businesses created 2.33 million jobs, while older businesses destroyed, on net, more than 7 million jobs. The share of Americans working in startups has fallen...
Audio: Gregg on Obamacare at the Supreme Court
This week has seen some pretty substantial Constitutional drama unfold in the chambers of the United States Supreme Court as the constitutionality of President Obama’s signature legislative plishment is put to the test. Relevant Radio host Drew Mariani called upon Acton’s Director of Research, Dr. Samuel Gregg, to give his thoughts on the course of the arguments so far and his thoughts on how Catholic social teaching applies to the issue of health care in general. The interview lasts about...
Morlino: Religious Freedom Defended with Charity and Reason
Yesterday in his personal column for the Diocese of Madison’s Catholic Herald, Bishop Robert C. Morlino issued a call to arms to Catholics battling for their religious freedom. But such a battle, he says, is one that should emulate Christ’s loving nature, while being resolutely clear and firm in rejecting the obligation of Catholic institutions to provide healthcare that includes contraceptives and abortifacients under the Obama administration’s controversial HHS mandate(see recent reactions below on EWTN by U.S. bishops and Acton’s...
Obamacare Lets the Government Decide What’s Moral
“The state’s appetite to find solutions from the center lures it to create positive rights out of thin air,” says Ismael Hernandez, president and founder of the Freedom and Virtue Institute, “even at the expense of a narrower space for civil society.” prehensive nature of religious thought often tempts religious bodies mand society from the center. Their tendency is to suffuse the system with a holistic vision of reality because such vision is seen as true and good. A social...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved