Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
Virtue and the Lake Wobegon effect
Virtue and the Lake Wobegon effect
Jan 16, 2026 2:42 AM

During the mid-1990s I spent a tour of duty as a Marine recruiter in southwestern Washington State. One of my primary tasks was to give talks at local high schools, but because many of the guidance counselors were not exactly pro-military, I was expected to give generic “motivational” speeches.

I soon discovered my idea of what constituted a motivational speech was not widely shared.

“Your parents and teachers have not been straight-forward with you,” I told the students in my first presentation. “You’re not really all that special. There are hundreds of thousands of kids just like you. And the fact is that you cannot be anything you want. Most of you don’t have the physical skills necessary to be a pro-athlete or the mental acuity to be a neurosurgeon. If you want to be successful in life you are going to choose a vocation that fits with your aptitude and abilities. And you’re going to have pete with others who are smarter and more talented than you are. You don’t have to be the best and brightest, but you do need to be the hardest-working.”

Needless to say, that message wasn’t well received by the students. Having a dream is the most important thing in life, one young girl told me and asked why I wanted to crush her (wildly unrealistic) ambitions. Another student, a slight, bespectacled young man said that while there were no 5’9” centers currently playing in the NBA, he’d be the first because he “wanted it more than anything else in the world.”

But while I was taken aback by the cluelessness of the students, I was even more surprised by the reaction of the teachers. They made it clear that I would not be invited back for I had undermined their attempts to build the “self-esteem” of the kids. I asked if they really believed that Johnny was going to be a basketball star and that Susan was going to achieve her outlandish dreams of being a famous actress. Of course they didn’t, but they couldn’t understand why that would matter. They seemed to believe that while an inflated sense of self-worth wasn’t a sufficient condition for success, it was certainly a necessary one. Therefore they believed that it was their duty to make sure that as many of the kids as possible “believed in themselves.”

The teachers couldn’t recognize that they were setting their students up for a life of failure by instilling in them “illusory superiority”, a cognitive bias that causes people to overestimate their positive qualities and abilities and to underestimate their negative qualities, relative to others. This is sometimes referred to as the Lake Wobegon Effect, named after Garrison Keillor’s fictional hometown “where all the women are strong, all the men are good looking, and all the children are above average.”

Surveys such as the CIRP Freshman Survey have shown that the Lake Wobegon Effect has e increasingly more acute over the past several decades. Each year, hundreds of colleges and universities administer the survey to entering students during orientation or registration. Since 1966 roughly 9 million students have taken the survey and over the last four decades there’s been a steady rise in the number of students who describe themselves as being ‘above average’ in the areas of academic ability, drive to achieve, mathematical ability, and self-confidence. But on the traits that are considered less individualistic—co-operativeness, understanding others, and spirituality—the numbers either stayed at slightly decreased over the same period.

Part of the problem is that as a society we put too much focus on expressing personality (“Discover and then be who you are.”) rather than on forming a virtuous character. Indeed, you will rarely hear the term “virtuous” used non-ironically nowadays. The term has an air of nineteenth-century Victorianism and implies that there are ways that people should and should not act that go beyond the most basic legal and ethical requirements. Virtue may have a quaint appeal if we’re watching Downtown Abbey, but we can’t really expect people to take virtue seriously today, can we?

I think not only that we can, but that we must. I also believe that many young people have a craving to be taught how to live virtuously. For many young men and women, military service appeals to them because it is one of the few environments in which they will not only be held to a higher standard of virtuous activity, but will be rewarded for it. For example, in both the Navy and the Marine Corps the “core virtues” to be embraced and embodied are “honor, courage, mitment.” Not every sailor and Marine lives up to the standard, of course, but the fact that a standard even exists strikes many young people as a refreshing change. They want to be noble rather than narcissistic. They just aren’t sure how to e virtuous, and there are few areas in society to encourage such development.

Perhaps it’s time we change that. While we can’t control many of the influences over young people—such as the media and pop culture—we do have some influence over the mediating institutions, particularly family, school, and church. We can’t change society overnight, but with a little effort we can make being virtuous an acceptable “alternative lifestyle.”

Image source: Flickr

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
William Wilberforce: Abolitionist, Reformer, Evangelical
“God Almighty has set before me two great objects … the suppression of the slave trade and the reformation of manners.” Read More… On February 24, 1807, the House of Commons voted by 283 votes to 16 to end the trade in human slaves in all British territories. The e was testimony to the tenacity, zeal, mitment of the most prominent evangelical Member of Parliament at the end of the 18th century, William Wilberforce (1759–1833). It had been a long...
Machiavelli and the Invention of Modernity
A new book by legendary Harvard professor Harvey Mansfield takes up the challenge of furthering our understanding of Machiavelli’s “enterprise” and how it has shaped our world over the past half millennium. Read More… Harvey Mansfield recently retired from his position at Harvard University after a long and storied career. He’s almost an institution himself, well-known for hard grading, demanding teaching, a book on manliness long after such things were permissible, and superb translations of Tocqueville and Machiavelli. His retirement,...
The Quiet Revolution of Place
A new book offers concrete solutions to entrenched problems that have contributed to the fragmentation, isolation, and desolation munities across the country. Step one is to start right where you are. Read More… Sociologist Robert Nisbet declared our era to be “singularly weak” in social inventiveness. In a new book on local solutions to America’s social ills, author Seth Kaplan agrees—with some exceptions. “Our modern era is not the first one in which the U.S. has weathered rapid social change,”...
Going My Way: An Enduring True Fairy Tale
The Oscar-winning Christmas classic, starring Bing Crosby, is a mainstay of holiday viewing, and for good reason—despite the sentimentality, it says much about our longing munity, justice, and fathers. Read More… Every Christmas, I try to write about Christmas movies, especially about old Hollywood, because the best directors at the time considered it worthwhile to make movies that would chastise and cheer up the nation, indeed remind people of the spirit of Christmas and thus try to fit Christianity into...
Javier Milei and the Promise of a New Argentina
The election of Argentina’s first libertarian holds much promise for economic reform and an end to the status quo that has wrecked Argentina’s economy, once one of the most robust in the world. But can the new president fulfill his promises, especially given the “caste” arrayed against him? Read More… Nothing guarantees that a country will remain prosperous forever. President Reagan stated that “we are never more than one generation away” from doing lasting damage to the primary institutions of...
Can the State Love God?
Philosopher Sebastian Morello makes the case for the political establishment of religion. Has the time e for conservatives to agree that this may be the only way out of our current moral morass? Read More… The 20th century was an outlier in the history of the human race. For the first time, secularizing movements spanned the globe. In many places, they succeeded by suppressing the political expression of religion. The great religions lost their capacity to direct culture and society....
Santa Claus vs. Artemis: A Christmas Story
We heartily await a new Christmas movie classic. Read More… As we deck the halls with boughs of holly this year, read the story of Christ’s Nativity, sing hymns and carols, exchange gifts, and light our homes in increasingly petition verging on mutually assured destruction with our neighbors, we must not lose sight of the real “reason for the season”: Santa’s victory over the pagan goddess Artemis. Really. Just to be clear, I am aware that Jesus is what Christmas...
The Holdovers and the Odor of Sanctity
Already winning pre-Oscar awards and gaining attention for its performances, The Holdovers proves to be both a throwback to an earlier era and a step forward for director Alexander Payne. Read More… When es to film genres, the kinds, the sorts, the categories of picture defined by certain conventions and characteristics, we’re all familiar with sci fi, the western, the detective crime drama, the war epic, edy (which includes mini-genres like , absurdist (think Airplane!), black (think Dr. Strangelove). Then...
The Trial of Jimmy Lai
Hong Kong’s biggest freedom fighter is about to stand trial. Here’s what you need to know. Read More… Jimmy Lai is no ordinary political protester. The 76-year-old Hong Kong entrepreneur and newspaper publisher has sat in solitary confinement in 35-pound handcuffs for more than 1,000 days as he prepares for the trial of his life. On one side are Lai and his defenders. On the other side is the Chinese Communist Party, preparing to keep Jimmy in prison for the...
Cultural Christians and the Work of Remembering
Were Christians always stronger in their profession of the Faith than in their practice of it? plicated. Read More… Let me begin where I’ll also end: Nadya Williams’ latest book, Cultural Christians in the Early Church (Zondervan), is a masterful exercise in historical research, pelling portrait of early Christians who professed Jesus with their words but not with their actions. It’s also thoroughly enjoyable to read. Engaging in style and rich in human detail, it’s designed for a general audience,...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved