Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
The Smile Curve and the Future of the Middle Class
The Smile Curve and the Future of the Middle Class
Dec 25, 2025 6:53 PM

The smile curveis an idea came from puter industry, but it applies broadly. It’s a recognition, in graph form, that there is good money to be made (or more value to be added) in research and development, and, at the other end, in marketing and retailing.

It’s also a recognition that there is almost no profit to be made, except in high volumes, in the middle areas of manufacturing (assembly or shipping). This has hurt the American middle class because we used to be a manufacturing nation. Yet today, even where manufacturing is strong, it does not usually pay well.

It’s one reason so much factory work has gone overseas (especially textiles and assembly). In the early stages of a product, there is good money in the middle, but when it mon to make a car or puter or a vacuum cleaner, then the value of manufacturing goes down, as we all know.

For example, Vera Bradley, maker of colorful quilted handbags and luggage, recently announced that it would close its plant in New Haven, Ind., putting about 250 employees out of work lastMay. pany has global sales of $509 million and has plans to grow to one billion in sales by 2019. Yet workers in assembly and manufacturing are the low point on the value curve, which means that if you can get it done cheaper, you will. Assembly can be cheap.

Vera Bradleyclaims that its U.S. assembly operation costs 90% more than factories in China and other nations (Fort Wayne Business Weekly). Those in the middle of the smile curve are paid poorly because they are so easily replaced.Imagine if a lawn service wants to cut your lawn for $40, but there is another service that will do it for $35. Then the neighbor es to your door and offers to mow it for $20. And the next week, four more neighbor e to your door offering to cut it for $20.

Who do you pick? For Vera Bradley and other panies, all those “neighbor kids” live overseas.

Ithas 2,700 specialty retailers that carry its brand, plus they opened 27 new stores of their own. Are there any Vera Bradley jobs left in America? Not any assembly jobs, but there are still about 600 workers in FortWayne that run pany. Theyhad profit of $38.4 million last year, and shifting the assembly overseas will save pany about $12 million annually. There was controversy in 2008 when Vera Bradleydecided to end its relationship with area job shops that employed about 540 people. The tax abatement that they weregranted was based on the idea that they would employ 500 in FortWayne. Vera Bradley cut 100 in late 2014 and is eliminating the reaming 247.

All of this is simply to remind us that as we move ever closer toaknowledge economy, we will see middle-class jobs will move to both ends of the curve. As we seek toalignour future efforts and creativity with the needs of those around us and theeconomy at large, it raises aseries of questions that we ought to be prepared to answer.

Needless to say, ifyourgranddaughter is designing purses for Vera Bradley, it’sprobably still a very good job. Ifshe’s making their handbags and luggage, however, she’s probably on her way out.

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
Economics and Happiness
Chuck Colson locates the perennial problem of human unhappiness with the inability to perceive where happiness es from. There’s the economic argument that while “increased prosperity can’t make you happy, it can, ironically, contribute to unhappiness,” an argument which Colson says, “doesn’t tell us anything about what makes people happy in the first place. Thus, it can’t tell us why increased prosperity doesn’t translate into increased happiness.” As I’ve noted before, the economic argument is helpful for locating a source...
‘I Am Not Afraid of Death’
Alexander Solzhenitsyn Der Spiegel has published a far ranging interview with Alexander Solzhenitsyn in which the great writer “discusses Russia’s turbulent history, Putin’s version of democracy and his attitude to life and death.” It is very much worth the read. Once again, e away from an encounter with Solzhenitsyn’s thought and marvel at his courage, his dedication to his art, and the almost indestructible quality of this man, now 88. In the current Religion & Liberty, I reviewed the new...
Acton Media Update
Dr. Jay Richards made an appearance on the Steve Deace show yesterday on central Iowa’s 50,000 watt blowtorch of a radio station, WHO in Des Moines. The topic of conversation was climate change, and you can listen to the interview by clicking right here (3.2 mb mp3 file). More: Jay also put in an appearance on Knucklehead Radio today on the same topic. You can listen to that one right here (2.5 mb mp3 file). ...
The Transfiguration of Our Lord
Mt. Tabor In much of the Christian world today, the great feast of the Transfiguration of Our Lord memorated (Matt. 17:1-9). In the Eastern Church, as Fr. Seraphim Rose observed, it is customary to “offer fruits to be blessed at this feast; and this offering of thanksgiving to God contains a spiritual sign, too. Just as fruits ripen and are transformed under the action of the summer sun, so is man called to a spiritual transfiguration through the light of...
Lord Acton on Literature
Picking up on the themes of the importance of narrative from recent weeks, I pass along this worthy saying of Lord Acton: “Government rules the present. Literature rules the future.” ...
Questions for Dr Gregg
Australian blogger Barney Zwartz, writing for the Australian newspaper The Age, tracks down intrepid research director Sam Gregg, who participated in a Melbourne book launching for Catholic Social Teaching and the Market Economy. After noting that “it seems counter-intuitive to me to consider market-theorist heroes such as Maggie Thatcher and Ronald Reagan friends of the poor,” Zwartz asks: Is Dr Gregg right? Is a market economy the primary tool for addressing poverty, are other economic approaches better, or are there...
Bulgaria embraces flat tax and freedom
The speaker for the Seventeenth Acton Institute Annual Dinner is former Estonian Prime Minister, Dr. Mart Laar. One of the economic reforms Laar implemented in Estonia was a flat tax. After what was described as a brilliant economic turnaround, other countries have followed Estonia’s lead on flat tax policies and free market policies in general. Russia, Ukraine, Latvia, Lithuania, Slovakia, Romania, and Macedonia also have flat taxes for e. The country of Bulgaria is now introducing a flat tax rate...
Debunking the ‘Eat Local’ Myth
An op-ed in today’s NYT by James E. McWilliams, “Food That Travels Well,” articulates some of the suspicions I’ve had about the whole “eat local” phenomenon. It seems to me that duplicating the kind of infrastructure necessary to sustain a great variety of food production every hundred miles or so is grossly inefficient. Now some researchers in New Zealand have crunched some numbers that seem to support that analysis: Incorporating these measurements into their assessments, scientists reached surprising conclusions. Most...
“We Doubt, We’re Out, Get Used to It”
Hey everybody, Richard Dawkins is selling T-shirts! Get ’em while they’re hot! One of my favorite bloggers, Allahpundit (who just happens to be an athiest himself), calls this “…a new stage in the transformation of ‘new atheism’ from rational argument to aggrieved identity group,” and has this to say about the t-shirts themselves Some of menters call this sort of thing evangelical atheism but a moron with a scarlet “A” on his chest really isn’t trying to convert you. He’s...
Romney’s Religion
Michael Gerson’s “What Matters About Romney’s Religion” in today’s Washington Post: There is a long tradition of American leaders who believe that religion is so personal it shouldn’t even affect their private lives. But this rigid separation between religious conviction and public policy lies outside the main current of American history. Abraham Lincoln’s theology, while hardly orthodox, was not his “own private affair.” “Nothing stamped with the divine image and likeness,” he asserted, “was sent into the world to be...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved