Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
Jan 18, 2026 2:20 AM

In assessing the health of our economy, many have been quick to proclaim the worst, whether pointing to flatlining wages or a supposedly static quality of life. Economic progress has halted, they say; thus, something must be terribly amiss with modern-day capitalism.

“If you were born in 1973, the median wage went from $17 to $19 an hour in your lifetime,” wrote Sen. Bernie Sanders in a recent tweet. “…The top 1%’s annual e tripled: $480K to $1.45 million. That’s why we need a political revolution.”

Or consider a recent report from Pew Research, which strings together a variety of studies es to a similar conclusion. “Despite the strong labor market, wage growth has lagged economists’ expectations,” writes Drew DeSilver. “In fact…today’s real average wage (that is, the wage after accounting for inflation) has about the same purchasing power it did 40 years ago.”

Yet such arguments rely on a particular interpretation of a specific set of data—not to mention an overconfidence in the underlying assumptions.

As economist Russ Roberts explains in a new short film, the task of measuring economic progress is a bit plicated, requiring more than parisons of prices and products over time. As we aim to evaluate our present situation, we ought to stretch our economic imaginations accordingly.

“Measuring economic progress requires an accurate measure of inflation,” he explains. “But measuring inflation is harder than you might think because rapid changes in quality often aren’t taken into account. When goods and services improve rapidly over time, it is more likely that inflation will be overestimated and changes in the standard of living will be underestimated.”

To challenge the corresponding blind spots, Roberts encourages us to put ourselves in the shoes of a 1973 consumer. Setting aside the various effects of inflation, would we actually prefer the products and services of yesteryear if we could still purchase them at those original prices?

Roberts paints pelling picture, inviting us into a world in which homes, cars, appliances, medical services and higher education are far less expensive—and much more antiquated. We would have no smart phones or puters; no internet, social media, or search engines; no streaming videos or music; no merce or online retail; no safety enhancements and modern efficiencies in any number of gadgets; and no life-saving medical and technological advancements.

“Would you take the deal?” he asks. “Would you give up the new products and the quality improvements of the last 40 years for the chance to pay 1973 prices?” Whatever our response, such a thought experiment certainly makes the sweeping calls for “political revolution” taste a bit more bland.

“If you’re hesitating, and I think a lot of people would, maybe the PCE [Personal Consumption Expenditures] and other price indices don’t accurately capture the change in your purchasing power over long periods of time,” he explains. “Paying 1973 prices for 1973 quality goods and services wouldn’t make you 5 times richer; you might even be worse off. That means our measures of inflation and the change in our standard of living aren’t off by a little; they’re off by a lot. The average American is almost certainly doing a lot better than the standard number suggests.”

It’s not the first time questions have been raised about such matters, of course. Yet Roberts’ goal isn’t to win some kind of petition, or even to take a side in which decision a consumer should actually make. He simply demonstrates how hard it is to actually measure such progress, let alone respond with various policies and programs.

Of course, our individual values and priorities ought to feed into the picture as well. “How much stuff people can buy isn’t close to all we care about,” Roberts reminds us. “The motto of life isn’t ‘whoever has the most toys wins.’ And even if the typical American is, in fact, doing a lot better than the numbers suggests, this doesn’t mean everyone has a carefree economic life.”

None of this is to say our current system is perfect or can’t be improved, yet making such improvements will be far more difficult if we don’t have a clear perspective on how far we’ve e and why, exactly, it matters. For in seeing the plexity of economic progress, we begin to realize that what we truly value is not, fundamentally, about the data or the numbers or the various forts and conveniences.

For most of us, Roberts’ thought experiment won’t lead to easy and simple answers—neither nostalgic Luddite fantasies nor materialistic clinging to smartphones. More likely, it will raise questions in our hearts and minds about how such progress has (or has not) helped to foster flourishing across all areas of life—our spirits and souls, our relationships munities, our time and treasure, and so on.

When we look before and beyond the more heated debates about inflation and wages and prices, then, we see a multitude of intangible, hard-to-measure human factors at play (moral, social, and otherwise). To truly assess the health of our economy and the likelihood of future progress, we’ll need to account for far more than products vs. products or prices vs. prices.

Image: Let’s Party Like It’s 1973, PolicyEd, Hoover Institution

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
5 Facts about Tax Day and income taxes
Today is Tax Day, the day when individual e tax returns are due to the federal government. Here are five facts you should know about e taxes and Tax Day: 1. The first national e tax in the United States was in 1861 soon after the outbreak of the Civil War. Congress approved a national e tax, signed into law by President Lincoln on August 5, 1861, which provided for a flat tax of three percent on annual e above...
Does Central America need a ‘Marshall Plan’?
Julián Castro is running for the Democratic nomination for president. Castro was Secretary of Housing and Urban Development under president Barack Obama, and before that he was mayor of San Antonio, TX. He is currently polling at a little over 1%, and he reported raising $1.1 million in campaign funds in the first quarter of the year. As a Mexican-American, Castro is currently the only Latino candidate. As such, it is not surprising that he has put immigration at the...
Call for papers: the legacy of Abraham Kuyper — 100 years later
The year 2020 marks the 100th anniversary of the death of Dutch theologian, statesman, educator, churchman, editorialist, and social theorist Abraham Kuyper. memorate his life and legacy, the Journal of Markets & Morality is accepting submissions on the theme of Abraham Kuyper for the Fall 2020 issue, guest edited by Reformed scholars Robert Joustra and Jessica Joustra of Redeemer University College in Canada. While any submission related to the life and thought of Abraham Kuyper will be considered, the editors...
Does capitalism always become crony?
Mark Zuckerberg has finally admitted he needs help. From the government. After years of shady dealing, data collection, and intentionally designing addictive technologies, Zuckerberg has asked the government to regulate tech. And who do you think will help write all the regulation that “regulates” all these tech firms? Bureaucrats in Washington won’t have enough knowledge, of course, so they’ll have to get it from experts in the tech industry. Lucky tech industry. Now that Facebook and Google, et al., have...
Learning to love institutions in an age of individualism
In the wake of rapid globalization and widespread consolidation, many have grown weary of human institutions, whether in business, religion, politics, or beyond. Threatened by their structure and slowness, we have tended to detach ourselves, opting instead for more “organic” approaches to human interaction. These “bottom-up” countermeasures surely have their value and necessity, but our modern resistance has also created a certain societal vacuum. Indeed, as our culture continues to fragment—increasingly defined by social isolationandpublic distrust—it is the places with...
As Notre Dame burns, France called to re-set world ablaze
May all Christian believers, particularly in France, be reminded that they must put out the angry fires festering against their faith’s many aggressors in order to ignite healthy joyful spiritual flames – so as “to be as God fully wants us to be”, in St. Catherine of Siena’s words, “to set the world ablaze” where Christianity is nowadays smoldering. Read More… Like most big stories, the world discovered last night’s fire devouring Paris’s Notre Dame Cathedral at breakneck speed on...
The ‘Halloween Brexit’ nightmare or a return to liberty?
Prime Minister Theresa May has extended the date the UK will leave the European Union yet again, this time to October 31. The eight-and-a-half month delay inspired some cheeky Brits to give the interminable process anthropomorphic qualities: the “Halloween Brexit” monster. The endless stalling is “slowly destroying the opportunity of liberty which leaving the EU offers,” writes Rev. Richard Turnbull in a new essay for Acton’s Religion & Liberty Transatlantic. Rev. Turnbull, who is the director of the Centre for...
The search for transcendence
Yesterday a short video, originally posted by Forbes a few months ago, popped up in my browser. Called “Finding Meaning Through Travel,” it discusses several people who have supposedly found their calling in a life of travel and exotic pursuits. I love traveling too, and having lived abroad for three years I am convinced of the value of contact with other cultures, but I have to say that the narrators’ quasi-mystical view of travel struck me as misguided. Ben Saunders,...
How the Fed worked before the Great Recession
Note: This is post #119 in a weekly video series on basic economics. The U.S. Federal Reserve controls the supply of money—which gives it a huge influence on the world economy. But as economist Tyler Cowen notes, how the Fed does this has changed since the Great Recession. In this video by Marginal Revolution University, Cowen explains how the Fed can change the federal funds rate—the overnight interest rate for when banks lend money to each other—and how that influences...
Study: Socialism turns people into liars
Socialism’s appeal is largely moral, not economic – not just because it doesn’t work economically, but because few people find pelling. Among their exaggerated claims, socialists argue that redistribution of wealth will create more moralpeople, not merely better living conditions. “We must develop among Soviet people Communist morality,” said Nikita Khrushchevin 1959, “at the foundation of which lie … the voluntary observation of the fundamental rules of munal radely mutual help, honesty, and truthfulness.” But does socialism make people more...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved