Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
Jan 13, 2026 9:04 PM

In assessing the health of our economy, many have been quick to proclaim the worst, whether pointing to flatlining wages or a supposedly static quality of life. Economic progress has halted, they say; thus, something must be terribly amiss with modern-day capitalism.

“If you were born in 1973, the median wage went from $17 to $19 an hour in your lifetime,” wrote Sen. Bernie Sanders in a recent tweet. “…The top 1%’s annual e tripled: $480K to $1.45 million. That’s why we need a political revolution.”

Or consider a recent report from Pew Research, which strings together a variety of studies es to a similar conclusion. “Despite the strong labor market, wage growth has lagged economists’ expectations,” writes Drew DeSilver. “In fact…today’s real average wage (that is, the wage after accounting for inflation) has about the same purchasing power it did 40 years ago.”

Yet such arguments rely on a particular interpretation of a specific set of data—not to mention an overconfidence in the underlying assumptions.

As economist Russ Roberts explains in a new short film, the task of measuring economic progress is a bit plicated, requiring more than parisons of prices and products over time. As we aim to evaluate our present situation, we ought to stretch our economic imaginations accordingly.

“Measuring economic progress requires an accurate measure of inflation,” he explains. “But measuring inflation is harder than you might think because rapid changes in quality often aren’t taken into account. When goods and services improve rapidly over time, it is more likely that inflation will be overestimated and changes in the standard of living will be underestimated.”

To challenge the corresponding blind spots, Roberts encourages us to put ourselves in the shoes of a 1973 consumer. Setting aside the various effects of inflation, would we actually prefer the products and services of yesteryear if we could still purchase them at those original prices?

Roberts paints pelling picture, inviting us into a world in which homes, cars, appliances, medical services and higher education are far less expensive—and much more antiquated. We would have no smart phones or puters; no internet, social media, or search engines; no streaming videos or music; no merce or online retail; no safety enhancements and modern efficiencies in any number of gadgets; and no life-saving medical and technological advancements.

“Would you take the deal?” he asks. “Would you give up the new products and the quality improvements of the last 40 years for the chance to pay 1973 prices?” Whatever our response, such a thought experiment certainly makes the sweeping calls for “political revolution” taste a bit more bland.

“If you’re hesitating, and I think a lot of people would, maybe the PCE [Personal Consumption Expenditures] and other price indices don’t accurately capture the change in your purchasing power over long periods of time,” he explains. “Paying 1973 prices for 1973 quality goods and services wouldn’t make you 5 times richer; you might even be worse off. That means our measures of inflation and the change in our standard of living aren’t off by a little; they’re off by a lot. The average American is almost certainly doing a lot better than the standard number suggests.”

It’s not the first time questions have been raised about such matters, of course. Yet Roberts’ goal isn’t to win some kind of petition, or even to take a side in which decision a consumer should actually make. He simply demonstrates how hard it is to actually measure such progress, let alone respond with various policies and programs.

Of course, our individual values and priorities ought to feed into the picture as well. “How much stuff people can buy isn’t close to all we care about,” Roberts reminds us. “The motto of life isn’t ‘whoever has the most toys wins.’ And even if the typical American is, in fact, doing a lot better than the numbers suggests, this doesn’t mean everyone has a carefree economic life.”

None of this is to say our current system is perfect or can’t be improved, yet making such improvements will be far more difficult if we don’t have a clear perspective on how far we’ve e and why, exactly, it matters. For in seeing the plexity of economic progress, we begin to realize that what we truly value is not, fundamentally, about the data or the numbers or the various forts and conveniences.

For most of us, Roberts’ thought experiment won’t lead to easy and simple answers—neither nostalgic Luddite fantasies nor materialistic clinging to smartphones. More likely, it will raise questions in our hearts and minds about how such progress has (or has not) helped to foster flourishing across all areas of life—our spirits and souls, our relationships munities, our time and treasure, and so on.

When we look before and beyond the more heated debates about inflation and wages and prices, then, we see a multitude of intangible, hard-to-measure human factors at play (moral, social, and otherwise). To truly assess the health of our economy and the likelihood of future progress, we’ll need to account for far more than products vs. products or prices vs. prices.

Image: Let’s Party Like It’s 1973, PolicyEd, Hoover Institution

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
Hail, GMO Cassava!
Oh, dear! GMO cassava can potentially feed millions on the African continent? Heaven forfend![/caption]If you grew up outside the African and South American continents you can be forgiven for thinking cassava is the latest variation of salsa music or perhaps the funky new energy beverage trendy hipsters are drinking these days. In Africa, however, 500 million individuals recognize cassava as a dietary staple much like the rest of the world enjoys potatoes and rice. Native to South America, cassava was...
How to Understand the Folk Marxism of Trump Supporters
The phenomenon that is Donald Trump and his presidential campaign can only truly be understood when you recognize his basic appeal: he’s bringing a brand of folk Marxism to an entirely new audience. Before we unpack what this means, we must first understand what it does not mean. Folk Marxism is not Classical Marxism, much munism. Marxism has so many varieties that even Karl Marx once said, “what is certain is that I myself am not a Marxist.” Folk Marxism...
7 Figures: NPR/Harvard Survey on Patients’ Perspectives on Health Care
A new survey by NPR and Harvard University reports the self-reported experiences of health care consumers across the country, in states that have (New Jersey, Ohio, Oregon) and have not (Florida, Kansas, Texas) expanded Medicaid, and in one (Wisconsin) that did not have to expand Medicare. Here are seven figures you should know from the report: 1. When asked about its effects on the people of their state, more than a third (35 percent) of adults say they believe national...
Most Americans Donate Little or Nothing to Charity
Most Americans believe that it is very important for them to be a generous person. Yet almost half did not give to charity in the past year, and less than a quarter gave more than $500. That’s the latest findings in a new Science of Generosity survey. An even more disconcerting discovery is that quarter of Americans were neutral on the importance of generosity and 10 percent disagreed that generosity was not a very important quality. As David Briggs of...
Video: Michael Matheson Miller on Technocracy and The Global Political Consensus
The 2016 Acton Lecture Series continued on March 3rd at Acton’s Mark Murray Auditorium with an address by Acton Research Fellow and Producer ofPoverty, Inc.Michael Matheson Miller. Miller’s topic for the day was “Technocracy and The Global Political Consensus.” Many of our current political and social challenges center around the fundamental question of what it means to be a human being, and our understanding of what it means to live an authentic human life. The answers to these questions will...
Is America Too Religious to Be Socialist?
Since its development as a political movement in the 1700s, socialism has spread to numerous nations, especially in Asia and Africa. Yet even when the U.S. government began adopting socialist policies (see: the New Deal), Americans tended to reject any direct connectionsto socialism. Why is that? One possible answer may be that America is simply too religious. As Andrew R. Lewis and Paul A. Djupe of FiveThirtyEight explain: To understand the relationship between socialist values and religion, we used the...
Race, mass incarceration, and drug policy
With the 2010 publication of The New Jim Crow: Mass Incarceration in the Age of Colorblindness by Ohio State University law professor Michelle Alexander, the conversation about America’s exploding prison population singularly became focused on the intersection of race, poverty, and the War on Drugs. According to the narrative, the drug war disproportionately targets blacks in lower munities as a means of social control via the criminal justice system similarly to the way Jim Crow controlled blacks in the early...
Alabama Church Pays Off Payday Loans
About twenty years ago I made some terrible choices and found myself in a serious financial bind. The amount I needed wasn’t much — about $200 — but without it I wouldn’t have been able to pay my rent. I took out a payday loan that cost me $30 every two weeks. It took about eight weeks to get clear of the loan, resulting in a cost of $120 to borrow $200 for two months. Was I fooling myself thinking...
Working for Our Neighbor: A Lutheran Approach to Vocation and Economic Life
“If you are a manual laborer, you find that the Bible has been put into your workshop, into your hand, into your heart. It teaches and preaches how you should treat your neighbor.” –Martin Luther Christian’s Library Press has now released Working for Our Neighbor, Gene Veith’s Lutheran primer on vocation, economics, and ordinary life. The book joins Acton’s growing series of tradition-specific, faith-work primers, whichalsoincludes Baptist, Wesleyan, Pentecostal, and Reformed perspectives. Veith, who describesMartin Luther as “the great theologian...
How to Understand GDP
What is Gross Domestic Product (GDP)? The definition is rather straightforward: GDP is the market value of all finished goods and services, produced within a country in a year. But that’s not very useful in trying to understand the concept. In this video by Marginal Revolution University, they mend thinking ofthe economy as a giant supermarket, with billions of goods and services inside. At the checkout line, you watch as the cashier rings up the price for each finished good...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved