Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
Jan 28, 2026 4:15 AM

In assessing the health of our economy, many have been quick to proclaim the worst, whether pointing to flatlining wages or a supposedly static quality of life. Economic progress has halted, they say; thus, something must be terribly amiss with modern-day capitalism.

“If you were born in 1973, the median wage went from $17 to $19 an hour in your lifetime,” wrote Sen. Bernie Sanders in a recent tweet. “…The top 1%’s annual e tripled: $480K to $1.45 million. That’s why we need a political revolution.”

Or consider a recent report from Pew Research, which strings together a variety of studies es to a similar conclusion. “Despite the strong labor market, wage growth has lagged economists’ expectations,” writes Drew DeSilver. “In fact…today’s real average wage (that is, the wage after accounting for inflation) has about the same purchasing power it did 40 years ago.”

Yet such arguments rely on a particular interpretation of a specific set of data—not to mention an overconfidence in the underlying assumptions.

As economist Russ Roberts explains in a new short film, the task of measuring economic progress is a bit plicated, requiring more than parisons of prices and products over time. As we aim to evaluate our present situation, we ought to stretch our economic imaginations accordingly.

“Measuring economic progress requires an accurate measure of inflation,” he explains. “But measuring inflation is harder than you might think because rapid changes in quality often aren’t taken into account. When goods and services improve rapidly over time, it is more likely that inflation will be overestimated and changes in the standard of living will be underestimated.”

To challenge the corresponding blind spots, Roberts encourages us to put ourselves in the shoes of a 1973 consumer. Setting aside the various effects of inflation, would we actually prefer the products and services of yesteryear if we could still purchase them at those original prices?

Roberts paints pelling picture, inviting us into a world in which homes, cars, appliances, medical services and higher education are far less expensive—and much more antiquated. We would have no smart phones or puters; no internet, social media, or search engines; no streaming videos or music; no merce or online retail; no safety enhancements and modern efficiencies in any number of gadgets; and no life-saving medical and technological advancements.

“Would you take the deal?” he asks. “Would you give up the new products and the quality improvements of the last 40 years for the chance to pay 1973 prices?” Whatever our response, such a thought experiment certainly makes the sweeping calls for “political revolution” taste a bit more bland.

“If you’re hesitating, and I think a lot of people would, maybe the PCE [Personal Consumption Expenditures] and other price indices don’t accurately capture the change in your purchasing power over long periods of time,” he explains. “Paying 1973 prices for 1973 quality goods and services wouldn’t make you 5 times richer; you might even be worse off. That means our measures of inflation and the change in our standard of living aren’t off by a little; they’re off by a lot. The average American is almost certainly doing a lot better than the standard number suggests.”

It’s not the first time questions have been raised about such matters, of course. Yet Roberts’ goal isn’t to win some kind of petition, or even to take a side in which decision a consumer should actually make. He simply demonstrates how hard it is to actually measure such progress, let alone respond with various policies and programs.

Of course, our individual values and priorities ought to feed into the picture as well. “How much stuff people can buy isn’t close to all we care about,” Roberts reminds us. “The motto of life isn’t ‘whoever has the most toys wins.’ And even if the typical American is, in fact, doing a lot better than the numbers suggests, this doesn’t mean everyone has a carefree economic life.”

None of this is to say our current system is perfect or can’t be improved, yet making such improvements will be far more difficult if we don’t have a clear perspective on how far we’ve e and why, exactly, it matters. For in seeing the plexity of economic progress, we begin to realize that what we truly value is not, fundamentally, about the data or the numbers or the various forts and conveniences.

For most of us, Roberts’ thought experiment won’t lead to easy and simple answers—neither nostalgic Luddite fantasies nor materialistic clinging to smartphones. More likely, it will raise questions in our hearts and minds about how such progress has (or has not) helped to foster flourishing across all areas of life—our spirits and souls, our relationships munities, our time and treasure, and so on.

When we look before and beyond the more heated debates about inflation and wages and prices, then, we see a multitude of intangible, hard-to-measure human factors at play (moral, social, and otherwise). To truly assess the health of our economy and the likelihood of future progress, we’ll need to account for far more than products vs. products or prices vs. prices.

Image: Let’s Party Like It’s 1973, PolicyEd, Hoover Institution

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
‘Belief in Genesis 1:27’ is ‘incompatible with human dignity’: Court
Human dignity, the defining value of the West, grows out of the Judeo-Christian belief that the human race was created in the image of God. However, a British court has officially pronounced this truth, revealed in the opening chapter of the Bible, patible with human dignity.” The case involved Dr. David Mackereth, who worked as a disability assessor for the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP). During an early evaluation meeting, a manager asked the 56-year-old Christian whether he would...
Video: Robert Doar on poverty in America
In July of this year, Robert Doar officially took the reins as President of the American Enterprise Institute, succeeding friend of Acton Arthur C. Brooks in that role. Yesterday, we were pleased to e Doar to deliver an address on poverty in America as part of the 2019 Acton Lecture Series. Doar reviewed the history of welfare reform during and after the Clinton Administration, discussed what works and what doesn’t when trying to help those in poverty to rise toward...
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
In assessing the health of our economy, many have been quick to proclaim the worst, whether pointing to flatlining wages or a supposedly static quality of life. Economic progress has halted, they say; thus, something must be terribly amiss with modern-day capitalism. “If you were born in 1973, the median wage went from $17 to $19 an hour in your lifetime,” wrote Sen. Bernie Sanders in a recent tweet. “…The top 1%’s annual e tripled: $480K to $1.45 million. That’s...
Joe Biden: Youth idol?
Today at Spectator USA I write about Joe Biden’s forgotten status as a fount of youthful genius in “Joe Biden: victim of the cult of youth.” Biden won his first Senate election at the 29, the same age as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and spent the next two decades being extolled for his age and sophistication – before spending the last decade ridiculed for his age and mediocrity. Biden’s fate is a cautionary tale about a culture that exalts youth and passion...
Creativity, history, and entrepreneurship
Joseph Sunde recently posted a substantive introduction to and elaboration of a paper I co-authored with Victor Claar, “Creativity, innovation, and the historicity of entrepreneurship,” in the Journal of Entrepreneurship & Public Policy. The idea for this paper arose out of reflection on a previous article I wrote with Victor, “The Soul of the Entrepeneur: A Christian Anthropology of Creativity, Innovation, and Liberty,” in the Journal of Ethics & Entrepreneurship. In that earlier piece, we discussed the “creativity” and “innovation,”...
What Margaret Thatcher’s rabbi taught about work, welfare, and labor unions
Margaret Thatcher transformed the UK’s stagnant economy with a program of privatization and paring back the welfare state. This won her a savage attack from the Church of England – and a defense from the chief rabbi, who emphasized the religious and moral value of work and responsibility. Thatcher came to office 40 years ago this May. Despite the rebounding economy, Thatcher’s Conservative Party faced the same critique that Frédéric Bastiat detailed in The Law: “Socialism, like the ancient ideas...
NBA abandons Hong Kong for Communist rule
In this week’s Acton Commentary I discuss the raging controversy between the National Basketball Association, Houston Rockets general manager Daryl Morey, and China. Morey’s since deleted tweet expressing solidarity for the protest movement in Hong Kong led to criticism from the the Chinese regime, Chinese firms which sponsor the NBA, and NBA team owners. This led the NBA to distance itself from Morey and his views: The NBA is now reaping the whirlwind of its failure to heed this warning...
Acton Line podcast special report: Churches and ministries at the front line of the opioid crisis
In 2017, a poll from NPR and Ipsos found that one in every three people in the U.S. has been affected by the opioid crisis in one way or another. One third of Americans know someone who has overdosed or know someone who is battling addiction — and the crisis hasn’t slowed down. On this episode, AnneMarie Schieber, award winning television news anchor and reporter based in Grand Rapids, MI, dives into the issue and explores how the private sector...
How to make a bad argument about wealth and poverty
When es to the morality of wealth and economics, bad arguments are so pervasive that no one needs to teach people how to make them. Yet sometimes it’s useful to examine logical errors in order to avoid making them in the future. One example occurred in today’s issue of The Observer, the student-run newspaper of the University of Notre Dame. The author, Mary Szromba, clearly felt passionate about her argument that “you cannot call yourself a Christian if you are...
Rule of law crumbles — again — in Latin America
It’s no secret that most of Latin America has struggled for a long time with the idea, habits, and practices of rule of law. When one consults rankings such as the Heritage Foundation’s Index of Economic Freedom (which measures for rule of law), it’s a depressing picture, despite notable exceptions like Chile. There are many reasons for this. Among others, they include a deep long-standing distrust of formal institutions which pervades many Latin American societies as well as the fact...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved