Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
Dec 16, 2025 8:14 AM

In assessing the health of our economy, many have been quick to proclaim the worst, whether pointing to flatlining wages or a supposedly static quality of life. Economic progress has halted, they say; thus, something must be terribly amiss with modern-day capitalism.

“If you were born in 1973, the median wage went from $17 to $19 an hour in your lifetime,” wrote Sen. Bernie Sanders in a recent tweet. “…The top 1%’s annual e tripled: $480K to $1.45 million. That’s why we need a political revolution.”

Or consider a recent report from Pew Research, which strings together a variety of studies es to a similar conclusion. “Despite the strong labor market, wage growth has lagged economists’ expectations,” writes Drew DeSilver. “In fact…today’s real average wage (that is, the wage after accounting for inflation) has about the same purchasing power it did 40 years ago.”

Yet such arguments rely on a particular interpretation of a specific set of data—not to mention an overconfidence in the underlying assumptions.

As economist Russ Roberts explains in a new short film, the task of measuring economic progress is a bit plicated, requiring more than parisons of prices and products over time. As we aim to evaluate our present situation, we ought to stretch our economic imaginations accordingly.

“Measuring economic progress requires an accurate measure of inflation,” he explains. “But measuring inflation is harder than you might think because rapid changes in quality often aren’t taken into account. When goods and services improve rapidly over time, it is more likely that inflation will be overestimated and changes in the standard of living will be underestimated.”

To challenge the corresponding blind spots, Roberts encourages us to put ourselves in the shoes of a 1973 consumer. Setting aside the various effects of inflation, would we actually prefer the products and services of yesteryear if we could still purchase them at those original prices?

Roberts paints pelling picture, inviting us into a world in which homes, cars, appliances, medical services and higher education are far less expensive—and much more antiquated. We would have no smart phones or puters; no internet, social media, or search engines; no streaming videos or music; no merce or online retail; no safety enhancements and modern efficiencies in any number of gadgets; and no life-saving medical and technological advancements.

“Would you take the deal?” he asks. “Would you give up the new products and the quality improvements of the last 40 years for the chance to pay 1973 prices?” Whatever our response, such a thought experiment certainly makes the sweeping calls for “political revolution” taste a bit more bland.

“If you’re hesitating, and I think a lot of people would, maybe the PCE [Personal Consumption Expenditures] and other price indices don’t accurately capture the change in your purchasing power over long periods of time,” he explains. “Paying 1973 prices for 1973 quality goods and services wouldn’t make you 5 times richer; you might even be worse off. That means our measures of inflation and the change in our standard of living aren’t off by a little; they’re off by a lot. The average American is almost certainly doing a lot better than the standard number suggests.”

It’s not the first time questions have been raised about such matters, of course. Yet Roberts’ goal isn’t to win some kind of petition, or even to take a side in which decision a consumer should actually make. He simply demonstrates how hard it is to actually measure such progress, let alone respond with various policies and programs.

Of course, our individual values and priorities ought to feed into the picture as well. “How much stuff people can buy isn’t close to all we care about,” Roberts reminds us. “The motto of life isn’t ‘whoever has the most toys wins.’ And even if the typical American is, in fact, doing a lot better than the numbers suggests, this doesn’t mean everyone has a carefree economic life.”

None of this is to say our current system is perfect or can’t be improved, yet making such improvements will be far more difficult if we don’t have a clear perspective on how far we’ve e and why, exactly, it matters. For in seeing the plexity of economic progress, we begin to realize that what we truly value is not, fundamentally, about the data or the numbers or the various forts and conveniences.

For most of us, Roberts’ thought experiment won’t lead to easy and simple answers—neither nostalgic Luddite fantasies nor materialistic clinging to smartphones. More likely, it will raise questions in our hearts and minds about how such progress has (or has not) helped to foster flourishing across all areas of life—our spirits and souls, our relationships munities, our time and treasure, and so on.

When we look before and beyond the more heated debates about inflation and wages and prices, then, we see a multitude of intangible, hard-to-measure human factors at play (moral, social, and otherwise). To truly assess the health of our economy and the likelihood of future progress, we’ll need to account for far more than products vs. products or prices vs. prices.

Image: Let’s Party Like It’s 1973, PolicyEd, Hoover Institution

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
Jonathan Haidt: Why Good People are Divided by Politics (and Religion)
Two weeks ago I attended a lecture at Grand Valley State University (GVSU) by Jonathan Haidt, author, among many other books and articles, of the book The Righteous Mind: Why Good People are Divided by Politics and Religion. Haidt is a social psychologist whose research focuses on the emotive and anthropological bases of morality. His talk at GVSU for their Hauenstein Center for Presidential Studies and Business Ethics Center, focused mostly on the question of the roots of our political...
Obamacare Analysis: Premiums Will Rise Average Of 41 Percent
Forbes has just released its 49-state analysis of Obamacare and the cost of insurance premiums. The findings? In the average state, Obamacare will increase underlying premiums by 41 percent. As we have long expected, the steepest hikes will be imposed on the healthy, the young, and the male. And Obamacare’s taxpayer-funded subsidies will primarily benefit those nearing retirement—people who, unlike the young, have had their whole lives to save for their health-care needs. Supporters of Obamacare are dismissing these figures,...
Federal Court Says Obamacare Mandate ‘Trammels’ Religious Freedom
The delivery trucks of Ohio-based Freshway Foods bear signs stating, “It’s not a choice, it’s a child,” as a way to publicly promote the owners’ pro-life views to the public. It wasn’t too surprising, then, that pany and it’s owners, Francis and Philip Gilardi, would be opposed to the Obamacare’s requirement that the health coverage for their nearly 400 full-time workers include abortifacients. The American Center for Law and Justice helped the Gilardi’s challenge the mandate, arguing that the mandate...
‘Dark Money’ – A Shaggy Dog Story
“Dark money” sounds menacing and foreboding – a financial nomenclature suggestive of gothic masterpieces like “The Raven” and “The Black Cat.” Whereas Poe’s tales actually contain sinister elements, the phrase dark money is employed by activist shareholders much like the villains of countless “Scooby Doo” cartoons devised illusory ghosts, werewolves and vampires. The evildoers wanted to scare those meddlesome Mystery Machine kids from nefarious moneymaking schemes. The anti-capitalism messages of “Scooby Doo” are repeated by those ominously intoning the perceived...
Challenging the Government Monopoly on Social Welfare
During the government shutdown billionaire philanthropists Laura and John Arnold gave $10 million to the National Head Start Association to keep the program for e children running. Mr. Arnold made it clear, however, that he did not believe this was a permanent solution, as “private dollars cannot in the long term replace mitments.” But some people thought Arnold’s generosity itself undermined the government’s power. As The Nation’s Amy Schiller said, “The entire shutdown is undergirded by a fantasy of a...
Ender Wiggin: Born for a Bloody Calling
One of the recurring themes inEnder’s Game is the dynamic surrounding Ender Wiggin’s apparent uniqueness: he was, it seems, quite literallyborn for the purpose of ending the conflict with the Formics. The source material as well as the film released last week raise moral questions surrounding what we might call “bloody callings” quite pointedly. A popular quote from Frederick Beuchner sets a helpful framework for discussing the question of whether there can be legitimate callings to offices that require violence....
Mike Rowe on Higher Education and ‘Vocational Consolation Prizes’
Ever since the cancellation of Discovery Channel’s hit show Dirty Jobs, former host Mike Rowe has been spreading his message more directly, challenging Americans on how they approach work and success. As Jordan Ballor has already noted, much of Rowe’s critique centers on the current state of higher education. In a recent appearance on The Blaze, Rowe offers a bit more color on this, pointing to the growing disconnect between skills and needs and wondering what it says about our...
MyCancellation.com: An ObamaCare Website that Works
From the folks at Independent Women’s Voice: Can’t keep your health care plan? Received a cancellation letter? We know that ObamaCare is causing this happen to people all across America — your family, your friends, your co-workers, your employees. Maybe even you. Washington needs to see what is happening. That’s why Independent Women’s Voice launched a new Tumblr site — — and we are looking for submissions from the millions across the country who have received cancellation letters from their...
Christians Need to Get Their Hands Dirty
To avoid the “twin errors of materialism and spiritualism” Christians need to mix it up with the “dirtiness” of this world, Jordan Ballor argues in Get Your Hands Dirty: Essays on Christian Social Thought (And Action). The Christian Post recently interviewed Jordan about his new book: CP: What is “dirt” a metaphor for in the book? Ballor:It’s a multi-layered metaphor. On one level, it’s just about grit, the things that attend to hard work – sweat, toil and mud –...
Ever Heard of a Tea Party Catholic?
At Public Discourse, Nathan Shlueter takes an unusual approach in his review of Acton’s Director of Research Sam Gregg’s Tea Party Catholic — it’s a memo to the faculty of Georgetown University as written by Sen. Paul Ryan: As Gregg’s book makes clear, defending market economies does not make one a libertarian. And, in fact, no libertarian or Randian egoist would approve of my budget plan, which—whether you agree with it or not—is a sincere attempt to preserve and improve...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved