Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
The intangibles of progress: Has the economy actually improved since 1973?
Jul 1, 2025 8:59 PM

In assessing the health of our economy, many have been quick to proclaim the worst, whether pointing to flatlining wages or a supposedly static quality of life. Economic progress has halted, they say; thus, something must be terribly amiss with modern-day capitalism.

“If you were born in 1973, the median wage went from $17 to $19 an hour in your lifetime,” wrote Sen. Bernie Sanders in a recent tweet. “…The top 1%’s annual e tripled: $480K to $1.45 million. That’s why we need a political revolution.”

Or consider a recent report from Pew Research, which strings together a variety of studies es to a similar conclusion. “Despite the strong labor market, wage growth has lagged economists’ expectations,” writes Drew DeSilver. “In fact…today’s real average wage (that is, the wage after accounting for inflation) has about the same purchasing power it did 40 years ago.”

Yet such arguments rely on a particular interpretation of a specific set of data—not to mention an overconfidence in the underlying assumptions.

As economist Russ Roberts explains in a new short film, the task of measuring economic progress is a bit plicated, requiring more than parisons of prices and products over time. As we aim to evaluate our present situation, we ought to stretch our economic imaginations accordingly.

“Measuring economic progress requires an accurate measure of inflation,” he explains. “But measuring inflation is harder than you might think because rapid changes in quality often aren’t taken into account. When goods and services improve rapidly over time, it is more likely that inflation will be overestimated and changes in the standard of living will be underestimated.”

To challenge the corresponding blind spots, Roberts encourages us to put ourselves in the shoes of a 1973 consumer. Setting aside the various effects of inflation, would we actually prefer the products and services of yesteryear if we could still purchase them at those original prices?

Roberts paints pelling picture, inviting us into a world in which homes, cars, appliances, medical services and higher education are far less expensive—and much more antiquated. We would have no smart phones or puters; no internet, social media, or search engines; no streaming videos or music; no merce or online retail; no safety enhancements and modern efficiencies in any number of gadgets; and no life-saving medical and technological advancements.

“Would you take the deal?” he asks. “Would you give up the new products and the quality improvements of the last 40 years for the chance to pay 1973 prices?” Whatever our response, such a thought experiment certainly makes the sweeping calls for “political revolution” taste a bit more bland.

“If you’re hesitating, and I think a lot of people would, maybe the PCE [Personal Consumption Expenditures] and other price indices don’t accurately capture the change in your purchasing power over long periods of time,” he explains. “Paying 1973 prices for 1973 quality goods and services wouldn’t make you 5 times richer; you might even be worse off. That means our measures of inflation and the change in our standard of living aren’t off by a little; they’re off by a lot. The average American is almost certainly doing a lot better than the standard number suggests.”

It’s not the first time questions have been raised about such matters, of course. Yet Roberts’ goal isn’t to win some kind of petition, or even to take a side in which decision a consumer should actually make. He simply demonstrates how hard it is to actually measure such progress, let alone respond with various policies and programs.

Of course, our individual values and priorities ought to feed into the picture as well. “How much stuff people can buy isn’t close to all we care about,” Roberts reminds us. “The motto of life isn’t ‘whoever has the most toys wins.’ And even if the typical American is, in fact, doing a lot better than the numbers suggests, this doesn’t mean everyone has a carefree economic life.”

None of this is to say our current system is perfect or can’t be improved, yet making such improvements will be far more difficult if we don’t have a clear perspective on how far we’ve e and why, exactly, it matters. For in seeing the plexity of economic progress, we begin to realize that what we truly value is not, fundamentally, about the data or the numbers or the various forts and conveniences.

For most of us, Roberts’ thought experiment won’t lead to easy and simple answers—neither nostalgic Luddite fantasies nor materialistic clinging to smartphones. More likely, it will raise questions in our hearts and minds about how such progress has (or has not) helped to foster flourishing across all areas of life—our spirits and souls, our relationships munities, our time and treasure, and so on.

When we look before and beyond the more heated debates about inflation and wages and prices, then, we see a multitude of intangible, hard-to-measure human factors at play (moral, social, and otherwise). To truly assess the health of our economy and the likelihood of future progress, we’ll need to account for far more than products vs. products or prices vs. prices.

Image: Let’s Party Like It’s 1973, PolicyEd, Hoover Institution

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
Spendthrift republicans
A wonderful piece by Deroy Murdock today on NRO. Though most fiscal conservatives understandably vote Republican, the record substantiates the theory that spending is less responsible when Congress is dominated by one party—either party—than when each party has enough votes to frustrate the other. Others have drawn attention to the problem of Republican pork, but Murdock does so in an especially devastating way. ...
Homo Religiosus
An article by City University of New York professor Richard Wolin celebrates the legacy of Jürgen Habermas, who represents a shift from philosophers such as Marx and Nietzsche. “Among 19th-century thinkers it was an monplace that religion’s cultural centrality was a thing of the past,” but in the words of Habermas, “For the normative self-understanding of modernity, Christianity has functioned as more than just a precursor or a catalyst. Universalistic egalitarianism, from which sprang the ideals of freedom and a...
Submerged subsidiarity
Because too much has already been said about the recent gulf hurricanes, I won’t put in my two cents. I will, however, direct the reader to the most insightful take on this situation that I have yet to stumble across. As you read it, think again about the importance of the definitions of the words we use, such as ‘responsibility’ and ‘authority’ as are discussed in the mentioned article. ...
The nose of a camel: The federal government and education
Federal involvement in education has grown steadily throughout the nation’s history, encroaching on what is still viewed by American’s as mostly a state and local responsibility. Kevin Schmiesing looks at a new book that examines U.S. education policy, the red tape and bureaucracy that has resulted, and the opposition to federal control that arose from parochial school administrators. Read the full text here. ...
Corporate faith
Two stats featured in this month’s Go Figure section of Christianity Today: 17: Percentage of the top 50 Fortune 500 corporations’ foundations whose policies prohibit their giving to faith-based groups. 57: Percentage of corporations that mention faith-based organizations and will not match employee contributions to them. ...
Let the market work
Check out this exchange, involving Tony Blankley from The Washington Times, Pat Buchanan of MSNBC, and Eleanor Clift of Newsweek, from last week’s McLaughlin Group about President Bush’s call for people to conserve gasoline in their daily activities: MR. BLANKLEY: Let me make a quick point. Free-market prices maintain equilibrium of supply and demand. Let the price go up. People will make individual decisions. MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Right. MR. BLANKLEY: And they will cut back. They did when the prices went...
Hurricane relief – Small organizations to the rescue
In the wake of overwhelming need of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, thankfully a number of us are voicing irritation with the inquiry, “How important do you think that faith-based organizations are to helping people”? Before ANY organization — government agency of any kind or national nonprofit — made a move, faith organizations had already moved. In San Antonio, where several Russian students were among New Orleans evacuees, Victory Fellowship, a faith-based, privately funded substance abuse treatment program, simply did the...
Delta regions of the world, unite!
The current situation in New Orleans can be seen in part as a result of the circumstances and context of the city’s founding in 1718. According to one report, the French settled on the site for New Orleans in response to “the need to control the Mississippi River and its tributaries.” But in order for this to happen, the French “would need to control the mouth of the river in the delta at the Gulf of Mexico. The problem with...
Serenity now!
Why review a television show that pleted even its first season nearly three years ago? The confluence of events and circumstances that resulted in the cancellation of the Fox show Firefly in 2002 has done little to destroy the resiliency of the Firefly phenomenon. While only 14 episodes were ever made, and only 11 of those ever shown, once plete series of Firefly came out on DVD, it topped sales at Amazon for months (it’s currently ranked #7). Fans of...
Tolerance: True and false
Pope Benedict XVI: “A tolerance which allows God as a private opinion but which excludes him from public life, from the reality of the world and our lives, is not tolerance but hypocrisy,” the pope said in the homily he gave at a three-week-long synod’s opening mass in St Peter’s Basilica. “When man makes himself the only master of the world and master of himself, justice cannot exist. Then, arbitrariness, power and interests rule.” ...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved