Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
The Chaos Theory of Career Development
The Chaos Theory of Career Development
Jan 12, 2026 7:36 PM

[Note: This month hundreds of thousands of young people will be graduating from high schools and colleges across America. Because I’ve had an unusual vocational path, I thought I’d offer them some unsolicited career advice. Admittedly, its not ground-breaking guidance. But I figure someone might benefit from hearing that they don’t have to have their career path already planned out in order to be successful.]

“What do you want to be when you grow up?” It’s a question that people begin asking you around the age five and will haunts you until adulthood, when it transmogrifies into, “Where do you see yourself in five years?”

To avoid the disappointing and scornful glances e from answering truthfully (“To be honest, I have no absolutely no clue.”) we learn to respond with a pat occupational objective. But asJeremy Dean of PsyBlogonce noted:

Most of us like to think that we have chosen our occupations, rather than them choosing us. We have reasons for what we are doing, visions of where we want to get to. We have career planning, career goals – the feeling of control.And yet if you ask people about their career decisions, almost 70% report that they have been significantly influenced by chance events. The two Australian psychologists who carried out this research, published [February 2007] in theJournal of Vocational Behaviour, believe they have provided further support for the Chaos Theory of Career Development.

Vocational researchers examining “chaos theory” tend to emphasize not the consistent, orderly nature of career patterns, but rather the importance of initial conditions and the impact of seemingly random perturbations on career development, that somewhat disrupt the ultimate trajectory of individual careers.

Some of these “random perturbations” include:

Technological changes— Changes in technology since World War II not only affect the way in which we do our work but can create entire industries—virtually overnight. Take, for example, the changes produced by the Internet. When I started college in 1987, the only people who knew about the web were the geeks in the Computer Science lab. Now almost every occupation is affected by the web. The vocational roles I currently have did not even exist twenty years ago. Sometime during your life you will likely spend time in a career that does not exist in 2014.

Miswanting— People are bad choosers. A variety of studies show that we are terrible at predicting what will make us happy in the future, a phenomenon that has been termed “miswanting.” We think we know what will give us pleasure in the future (money, status) but when the future arrives we may find that what we really desire is another mix of goods (health insurance, job security). Be flexible and recognize that the hopes and desires you have now — at the age of 18-25 —will change radically over the next ten years. This is not “giving up on your dreams”; this is realizing that the dreams you thought your future self would want were not really what you wanted at all.

Limited options— At an early age boys tend to want to be fireman or police officers, while girls want to be doctors or teachers. Children have an extremely limited awareness of the vocational options available. While almost every child has seen where a nurse works, few have seen the offices of an investment banker. Even during college most students aren’t truly aware of just how broad the opportunities are available to them and so choose a path based on their limited experience. There is a good chance your future job title will be one you never could have imagined because you never knew it existed.

But while we may not necessarily be able pletely control the trajectory of our careers, we can influence the initial conditions. From my own experience I’ve found that three conditions — skills, network, and mindset — are particularly significant for career development:

Focus on skill clusters— From the age of twelve until now (age 44), I’ve had thirty six distinct jobs. Almost all of them, however, can be lumped into one of four clusters: low-skill service jobs (e.g., limo driver, golf caddy, waiter), apprentice-level skilled labor (oilfield electrician’s assistant; irrigator’s assistant; farrier/horseshoer’s assistant); mid-level manager (various military jobs); or jobs dependent munication skills (web editor, SAT tutor; research director for a presidential candidate, adjunct professor of journalism). The skill sets I’ve acquired, rather than my preferences, have often determined what work was available to me. Choose skill clusters carefully, for they will have a significant impact on the path your career takes.

Who knows you is more important than a resume— The career cliché “It’s not what you know but who you know” is only partially true. A better version would be “It’s not what you know butwho knows you.” Almost every job I’ve ever had — from getting hired as a sacker at Piggly Wiggly to my role here at the Acton Institute — e from someone who already works in that field knowing and mending me to an employer. Expand your network, develop a good reputation, and your career will (mostly) take care of itself.

You have no idea where you are going, or when the trip will begin.— That’s the title of Chapter 1 in Hugh Hewitt’s invaluable guide,In But Not Of: A Guide to Christian Ambition and the Desire to Influence the World. As Hewitt points out, “Your circumstances today may or may not be particularly promising, but circumstances change, sometimes slowly and sometimes in the space of a day.” The example he gives is that at the age of 40, Alexander Solzhenitsyn was teaching math, Karol Wolitya (John Paul II) was an obscure bishop in Poland, and Ronald Reagan was a washed up B-movie actor. Yet all three would eventually play a role in bringing down the Soviet Union. We don’t know where our lives will lead, which means we must be ready for es. Prepare for your call, rather than your career.

Above all, remember that while you cannot be anythingyouwant to be, you can be anything thatGodwants you to be. He’s given you skills and interests that will allow you, if you seek his guidance by reading his Word and obeying mands, to find your way. Our Creator clearly sees your path even if, from your current, limited perspective, it may look like chaos. Trust God and step out boldly, for you have an exciting journey ahead of you.

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
The 2 things that can help Africans prosper
For too long, the West’s policy toward Africa could be summed up in two words: foreign aid. Somehow, temporary funds transfers – many of which never reach their recipient country and end up in the pockets of well-connected Western professionals – would solve structural development issues. MIT economist Daron Acemoglu once derided some foreign aid plans as “get-rich-quick schemes.” Those developmental policies, like Ponzi schemes, hurt the would-be beneficiary. “Even as the level of foreign aid into Africa soared through...
Radio Free Acton: Jennifer Roback Morse on family breakdown and the economy; Upstream on Darkest Hour
On this episode of Radio Free Acton, Trey Dimsdale, Director of Program Outreach at Acton, speaks with Jennifer Roback Morse, founder of the Ruth Institute, about her ing Acton Lecture Series talk on family breakdown and the economy. Then, on the Upstream segment, Bruce Edward Walker talks to Acton’s Patrick Oetting on the new film Darkest Hour. Check out these additional resources on this week’s podcast topics: Register here to attend Acton’s Lecture Series event on January 25, featuring Jennifer...
Economic problems are not driving opioid overdose deaths
The opioid epidemic has e one of the deadliest drug crises in American history. In 2015, more peopledied from drug overdosesthan in any year on record, and the majority of drug overdose deaths—more than six out of ten—involved an opioid. A study of emergency rooms in the U.S. also found that since 1999, the number of overdose deaths involving opioids (including prescription opioid pain relievers and heroin) nearly quadrupled. Altogether nearly half a million people died from drug overdoses in...
Explainer: What you should know about a government shutdown
Why is there talk about a government shutdown? In December Congress passed the Further Additional Continuing Appropriations Act, 2018 (H.R. 1370) which provides non-discretionary funding through January 19, 2018. Because that Act expires at midnight on Friday, Congress must pass a new continuing appropriations act to keep the government operating. Democrats in Congress are insisting that any new stop-gap spending measure to keep the government funded must include a legislative fix on the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) act....
The 3 reasons Martin Luther King Jr. rejected Communism
Today is Martin Luther King Jr. Day in the United States, but the civil rights leader is a figure of worldwide significance. He learned the principles of non-violence from those resisting the British empire, received the Nobel Peace Prize in Stockholm, and is one of the “twentieth century martyrs” whose statue sits atop the great west door of Westminster Cathedral (alongside Maximilian Kolbe, Dietrich Bonhoeffer, and others). And 50 years after his death, his moral crusade for equal treatment under...
Macron’s Orwellian fake news fix
“On January 3, during his first press event of the new year, French President Emmanuel Macron presented a proposal intended to ‘protect the democratic life’ of France from ‘fake news,’” writes Marcin Rzegocki in this week’s Acton Commentary. Macron would make it “possible for judges to remove fake news stories, delete the links to them, block the sites, or close the offending users’ accounts.” The French president is not alone with his ideas to limit foreign information in his country....
Why government is not just a necessary evil
In the Federalist Papers James Madison claimed that, “If men were angels, no government would be necessary.” But is that true? James R. Rogers, an associate professor of political science at Texas A&M University, explains why some form of government would be necessary even if man were still in a prelapsarian state of nature: [E]ven without the Fall, there would be a role for civil government for the duly recognized person who exercises civil authority. Even in an unfallen society,...
The euro, Brussels, and the Russian bear
The government of Poland is part of the new surge of populism, openly defying the European Union on numerous policy fronts and rebuffing calls for an “ever-closer union.” So, why did its prime minister recently raise the possibility of adopting the euro? What is happening, and how should people of faith think about a single European currency? Are there moral issues at stake? “Adoption of mon euro currency should be understood first and foremost as politics, and only then as...
Asymmetric information and used cars
Note: This is post #64 in a weekly video series on basic microeconomics. Adverse selection occurs when an offer conveys negative information about what is being offered. For example, in the market for used cars, sellers have more information about the car’s quality than buyers. This leads to the death spiral of the market, and market failure, explains Marginal Revolution University. However, the market has developed solutions such as warrantees, guarantees, branding, and inspections to offset information asymmetry. (If you...
Apply today for a 2018 internship at Acton
A 2016 NACE Center report on millennial hiring indicated that internships help 81.1 percent of graduates “shift their career directions either slightly or significantly.” At Acton, we place an emphasis on assisting young men and women to discover their vocational calling through internships. The holiday season may have just ended, but we already find ourselves anticipating the energy and enthusiasm that 18 young leaders will bring to the Acton office this summer. In addition, we have re-branded the Acton summer...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved