Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
The Chaos Theory of Career Development
The Chaos Theory of Career Development
Jan 12, 2026 6:55 AM

[Note: This month hundreds of thousands of young people will be graduating from high schools and colleges across America. Because I’ve had an unusual vocational path, I thought I’d offer them some unsolicited career advice. Admittedly, its not ground-breaking guidance. But I figure someone might benefit from hearing that they don’t have to have their career path already planned out in order to be successful.]

“What do you want to be when you grow up?” It’s a question that people begin asking you around the age five and will haunts you until adulthood, when it transmogrifies into, “Where do you see yourself in five years?”

To avoid the disappointing and scornful glances e from answering truthfully (“To be honest, I have no absolutely no clue.”) we learn to respond with a pat occupational objective. But asJeremy Dean of PsyBlogonce noted:

Most of us like to think that we have chosen our occupations, rather than them choosing us. We have reasons for what we are doing, visions of where we want to get to. We have career planning, career goals – the feeling of control.And yet if you ask people about their career decisions, almost 70% report that they have been significantly influenced by chance events. The two Australian psychologists who carried out this research, published [February 2007] in theJournal of Vocational Behaviour, believe they have provided further support for the Chaos Theory of Career Development.

Vocational researchers examining “chaos theory” tend to emphasize not the consistent, orderly nature of career patterns, but rather the importance of initial conditions and the impact of seemingly random perturbations on career development, that somewhat disrupt the ultimate trajectory of individual careers.

Some of these “random perturbations” include:

Technological changes— Changes in technology since World War II not only affect the way in which we do our work but can create entire industries—virtually overnight. Take, for example, the changes produced by the Internet. When I started college in 1987, the only people who knew about the web were the geeks in the Computer Science lab. Now almost every occupation is affected by the web. The vocational roles I currently have did not even exist twenty years ago. Sometime during your life you will likely spend time in a career that does not exist in 2014.

Miswanting— People are bad choosers. A variety of studies show that we are terrible at predicting what will make us happy in the future, a phenomenon that has been termed “miswanting.” We think we know what will give us pleasure in the future (money, status) but when the future arrives we may find that what we really desire is another mix of goods (health insurance, job security). Be flexible and recognize that the hopes and desires you have now — at the age of 18-25 —will change radically over the next ten years. This is not “giving up on your dreams”; this is realizing that the dreams you thought your future self would want were not really what you wanted at all.

Limited options— At an early age boys tend to want to be fireman or police officers, while girls want to be doctors or teachers. Children have an extremely limited awareness of the vocational options available. While almost every child has seen where a nurse works, few have seen the offices of an investment banker. Even during college most students aren’t truly aware of just how broad the opportunities are available to them and so choose a path based on their limited experience. There is a good chance your future job title will be one you never could have imagined because you never knew it existed.

But while we may not necessarily be able pletely control the trajectory of our careers, we can influence the initial conditions. From my own experience I’ve found that three conditions — skills, network, and mindset — are particularly significant for career development:

Focus on skill clusters— From the age of twelve until now (age 44), I’ve had thirty six distinct jobs. Almost all of them, however, can be lumped into one of four clusters: low-skill service jobs (e.g., limo driver, golf caddy, waiter), apprentice-level skilled labor (oilfield electrician’s assistant; irrigator’s assistant; farrier/horseshoer’s assistant); mid-level manager (various military jobs); or jobs dependent munication skills (web editor, SAT tutor; research director for a presidential candidate, adjunct professor of journalism). The skill sets I’ve acquired, rather than my preferences, have often determined what work was available to me. Choose skill clusters carefully, for they will have a significant impact on the path your career takes.

Who knows you is more important than a resume— The career cliché “It’s not what you know but who you know” is only partially true. A better version would be “It’s not what you know butwho knows you.” Almost every job I’ve ever had — from getting hired as a sacker at Piggly Wiggly to my role here at the Acton Institute — e from someone who already works in that field knowing and mending me to an employer. Expand your network, develop a good reputation, and your career will (mostly) take care of itself.

You have no idea where you are going, or when the trip will begin.— That’s the title of Chapter 1 in Hugh Hewitt’s invaluable guide,In But Not Of: A Guide to Christian Ambition and the Desire to Influence the World. As Hewitt points out, “Your circumstances today may or may not be particularly promising, but circumstances change, sometimes slowly and sometimes in the space of a day.” The example he gives is that at the age of 40, Alexander Solzhenitsyn was teaching math, Karol Wolitya (John Paul II) was an obscure bishop in Poland, and Ronald Reagan was a washed up B-movie actor. Yet all three would eventually play a role in bringing down the Soviet Union. We don’t know where our lives will lead, which means we must be ready for es. Prepare for your call, rather than your career.

Above all, remember that while you cannot be anythingyouwant to be, you can be anything thatGodwants you to be. He’s given you skills and interests that will allow you, if you seek his guidance by reading his Word and obeying mands, to find your way. Our Creator clearly sees your path even if, from your current, limited perspective, it may look like chaos. Trust God and step out boldly, for you have an exciting journey ahead of you.

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
Conservatism as Gratitude
Yuval Levin, one of the brightest minds in America, was recently awarded the 2013 Bradley Prize for his work in advancing the cause of limited government. In his remarks on accepting the prize, Levin explains the connection between conservatism and the virtue of gratitude: To my mind, conservatism is gratitude. Conservatives tend to begin from gratitude for what is good and what works in our society and then strive to build on it, while liberals tend to begin from outrage...
5 Facts About Fatherhood In The United States For Father’s Day
There are almost 2 million single dads raising kids in the U.S.About 24 million children do not live with their biological father.In 1965, dads spent about 2 1/2 hours a day with their child; today, dads spend about 6 1/2 hours with their child daily.70% of Americans believe that a father’s absence from the home is the most significant problem facing our country today.Even in high crime neighborhoods, 90% of children from stable 2 parent homes where the father is...
Peter Schweizer Talks Congressional Insider Trading
In his bestseller, Throw Them All Out, Peter Schweizer declares, “The Permanent Political Class has no sense of urgency to change because, for them, business is good.” Schweizer, who is interviewed in the latest issue of Religion & Liberty, appeared today on the Mike Huckabee radio show to talk congressional insider trading. Schweizer told Huckabee that “Big government creates big profits for people that are in power.” Schweizer added that this is not a partisan problem but a human problem...
Autocam Takes Battle Against HHS Mandate to the Sixth Circuit
On Tuesday June 11, Autocam Corporation went before the U.S. Court of Appeals 6th Circuit Court in Cincinnati to argue against the enforcement of the Health and Human Services birth control mandate. President and CEO of Autocam and Autocam Medical, John Kennedy, says that “the law forces some employers to participate in what they believe is intrinsic evil.” But his request for an injunction had been denied by the US District Court for the Western District of Michigan. A spokespersonfrom...
How to Measure an Economy
Among the most significant economic challenges in America today is getting Americans to understand what an economy is. When the Latin term oeconomia was first used in the 1500s it meant “household management.” A few centuries later, the term political economy was used in reference to the economies of states or polities. It wasn’t until the modern era, though, that “economy” became to refer primarily to the production and distribution of national e and wealth and lost almost all connection...
‘Do you, or have you ever, belonged to the Boston Tea Party?’
Keith Lambert has a riveting first-hand account at his new blog about Cold War Communist informant Herb Philbrick. Some key excerpts: Back in the 1980’s I was more interested in dating his daughter than I was in learning about the man she called her father. Nevertheless because of his poor night vision my mother-in-law to be Shirley pulled me aside and asked me to drive the two of them to Boston for an appearance of Herb’s on a locally syndicated...
Virginia Power Company Prudently Rejects Renewable Mandate Resolution
One of the greatest benefits of living in the United States is our access to plentiful, affordable domestic energy. These benefits extend to the nation’s poor who enjoy an unprecedented wealth of heat in the winter and air conditioning in the summer, plentiful light in the evening hours and electronic devices that power up at the press of a button. Driving up costs for energy forces a itant rise in costs to consumers in every strata of society. Such has...
Reclaiming Feminism
AEI Scholar Christina Hoff Sommers is on a quest to reclaim feminism. Her new book, Freedom Feminism and Why It Matters Today, explores why so many women today reject the title of “feminist.” She discusses the topic further in the following video. ...
EVACUATE THE SCHOOLCHILDREN! It’s a FIRE SALE!
Acton’s enormously exciting FIRE SALE continues in the Acton Audio Store! We’ve marked down prices on our 2012 Acton University audio by SEVENTY-FIVE PERCENT! Talks by luminaries such as Michael Novak, Eric Metaxas and Arthur Brooks are available for the low, low price of fifty cents! You’d have to be crazy not to check it out! AND… scene. ...
We Are All The Problem
rades, is the answer to all our problems. It is summed up in a single word– Man” ― George Orwell, Animal Farm We are clearly at a point where we are all to be treated as criminals. Why? Because it’s politically incorrect to name the actual criminals. If a terrorist is fueled by a fundamentalist vision of his religion, such as the Tsarnaev brothers, we are told that their radical roots are “mysterious” or religion wasn’t even a factor in...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved