Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
The Chaos Theory of Career Development
The Chaos Theory of Career Development
Jul 11, 2025 10:36 PM

[Note: This month hundreds of thousands of young people will be graduating from high schools and colleges across America. Because I’ve had an unusual vocational path, I thought I’d offer them some unsolicited career advice. Admittedly, its not ground-breaking guidance. But I figure someone might benefit from hearing that they don’t have to have their career path already planned out in order to be successful.]

“What do you want to be when you grow up?” It’s a question that people begin asking you around the age five and will haunts you until adulthood, when it transmogrifies into, “Where do you see yourself in five years?”

To avoid the disappointing and scornful glances e from answering truthfully (“To be honest, I have no absolutely no clue.”) we learn to respond with a pat occupational objective. But asJeremy Dean of PsyBlogonce noted:

Most of us like to think that we have chosen our occupations, rather than them choosing us. We have reasons for what we are doing, visions of where we want to get to. We have career planning, career goals – the feeling of control.And yet if you ask people about their career decisions, almost 70% report that they have been significantly influenced by chance events. The two Australian psychologists who carried out this research, published [February 2007] in theJournal of Vocational Behaviour, believe they have provided further support for the Chaos Theory of Career Development.

Vocational researchers examining “chaos theory” tend to emphasize not the consistent, orderly nature of career patterns, but rather the importance of initial conditions and the impact of seemingly random perturbations on career development, that somewhat disrupt the ultimate trajectory of individual careers.

Some of these “random perturbations” include:

Technological changes— Changes in technology since World War II not only affect the way in which we do our work but can create entire industries—virtually overnight. Take, for example, the changes produced by the Internet. When I started college in 1987, the only people who knew about the web were the geeks in the Computer Science lab. Now almost every occupation is affected by the web. The vocational roles I currently have did not even exist twenty years ago. Sometime during your life you will likely spend time in a career that does not exist in 2014.

Miswanting— People are bad choosers. A variety of studies show that we are terrible at predicting what will make us happy in the future, a phenomenon that has been termed “miswanting.” We think we know what will give us pleasure in the future (money, status) but when the future arrives we may find that what we really desire is another mix of goods (health insurance, job security). Be flexible and recognize that the hopes and desires you have now — at the age of 18-25 —will change radically over the next ten years. This is not “giving up on your dreams”; this is realizing that the dreams you thought your future self would want were not really what you wanted at all.

Limited options— At an early age boys tend to want to be fireman or police officers, while girls want to be doctors or teachers. Children have an extremely limited awareness of the vocational options available. While almost every child has seen where a nurse works, few have seen the offices of an investment banker. Even during college most students aren’t truly aware of just how broad the opportunities are available to them and so choose a path based on their limited experience. There is a good chance your future job title will be one you never could have imagined because you never knew it existed.

But while we may not necessarily be able pletely control the trajectory of our careers, we can influence the initial conditions. From my own experience I’ve found that three conditions — skills, network, and mindset — are particularly significant for career development:

Focus on skill clusters— From the age of twelve until now (age 44), I’ve had thirty six distinct jobs. Almost all of them, however, can be lumped into one of four clusters: low-skill service jobs (e.g., limo driver, golf caddy, waiter), apprentice-level skilled labor (oilfield electrician’s assistant; irrigator’s assistant; farrier/horseshoer’s assistant); mid-level manager (various military jobs); or jobs dependent munication skills (web editor, SAT tutor; research director for a presidential candidate, adjunct professor of journalism). The skill sets I’ve acquired, rather than my preferences, have often determined what work was available to me. Choose skill clusters carefully, for they will have a significant impact on the path your career takes.

Who knows you is more important than a resume— The career cliché “It’s not what you know but who you know” is only partially true. A better version would be “It’s not what you know butwho knows you.” Almost every job I’ve ever had — from getting hired as a sacker at Piggly Wiggly to my role here at the Acton Institute — e from someone who already works in that field knowing and mending me to an employer. Expand your network, develop a good reputation, and your career will (mostly) take care of itself.

You have no idea where you are going, or when the trip will begin.— That’s the title of Chapter 1 in Hugh Hewitt’s invaluable guide,In But Not Of: A Guide to Christian Ambition and the Desire to Influence the World. As Hewitt points out, “Your circumstances today may or may not be particularly promising, but circumstances change, sometimes slowly and sometimes in the space of a day.” The example he gives is that at the age of 40, Alexander Solzhenitsyn was teaching math, Karol Wolitya (John Paul II) was an obscure bishop in Poland, and Ronald Reagan was a washed up B-movie actor. Yet all three would eventually play a role in bringing down the Soviet Union. We don’t know where our lives will lead, which means we must be ready for es. Prepare for your call, rather than your career.

Above all, remember that while you cannot be anythingyouwant to be, you can be anything thatGodwants you to be. He’s given you skills and interests that will allow you, if you seek his guidance by reading his Word and obeying mands, to find your way. Our Creator clearly sees your path even if, from your current, limited perspective, it may look like chaos. Trust God and step out boldly, for you have an exciting journey ahead of you.

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
How the minimum wage affected workers during (and after) the Great Recession
The law of demand is one of the most fundamental concepts of economics. This law states that, if all other factors remain equal, the higher the price of a good, the less people will demand that good. Most of the time this is too obvious to mention. Yet people seem to think we can suspend the law of demand when es to wages. They seem to believe, for example, that increasing the price of labor for low-skilled workers will have...
The biggest beneficiaries of the success sequence
Good choices benefit everyone but, as in all of life, not all groups gain equally. The success sequence is no different. The sequence says that the vast majority of people can avoid living in poverty if they make a few deliberate life choices: finish high school, work full time, wait until age 21 to get married, and do not have children outside wedlock. Religion can provide unparalleled motivation for at least two of these goals.A new study has found that99.1...
Study finds crony capitalists believe markets in America are already too free
Do business leaders embrace cronyism because they receive favoritism from the government or do those who seek favoritism from the government do so because they’ve already embraced cronyism? Whether it’s a matter of causation or correlation, there is definitely a connection, as a new study from the Mercatus Center at George Mason University finds. The new working paper discusses a national survey of business leaders that sought to determine how government favoritism toward particular firms (i.e., cronyism) correlates with attitudes...
Kevin D. Williamson responds to ‘Ben Shapiro and the alt-right smear’
In my Friday post titled, “Ben Shapiro and the alt-right smear” I wrote: Thus, National Review – once a bulwark of American conservatism – advocates that gay marriage is a family value – according to Jonah Goldberg – and that statues of former Confederate leadership must be torn down by patriotism – according to Kevin Williamson. Williamson objected, saying this is what he actually wrote in his August 2017 piece “Let It Be” in National Review: The current attack on...
President Trump visits Grand Rapids, promises to turn it into Detroit
Last Thursday, at a campaign rally in Grand Rapids, MI (home, inter alia, to the Acton Institute), President Trump promised the crowd, “By the way, we’re bringing a lot of those panies back. Remember I told you. ing back. They’re pouring back in.” Now, it is important to put this in context. Trump had just praised Michigan workers — and no doubt people likely came from all over Michigan, even out of state, to hear the president speak. That said,...
AOC and the New Eugenics
Here is a piece I wrote for the Stream on Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and ments on climate change and whether “it is still ok to have children.” When an American politician asks if it is still okay to have children, this is something to notice. Are you familiar with the progressive movement and their attraction to eugenics? Then you know the score. It’s a short step from “wondering” if it’s okay for people to have children to making laws that forbid...
Will socialism or corruption sink Europe’s most Catholic state?
The island nation of Malta has long enjoyed a reputation as perhaps the most Catholic nation in the world. However, some analysts believe socialism is gaining adherents, with Labour Party member George Vella about to e president this Friday – and its popularity is due in large part to widespread corruption. Mark R. Royce examines both issues in a new essay for Religion & Liberty Transatlantic. He begins by defining the term socialism, a helpful definition that notes the faith-based...
Grace in our life together: Community beyond markets, states, and ‘social capital’
When discussing the role of economics in our life and world I am always careful to make a distinction: life is economic but economics is not all of life.I’ve suggested this broader understanding of personal and social interests has mon among major free-market theorists since Adam Smith. Economics itself is the product of the sustained reflection of Christians on nature, the scriptures, and their own experience in crafting the institutions, ethics, and law which birthed the tradition of ordered liberty....
The U.S. money supplies
Note: This is post #117 in a weekly video series on basic economics. What exactly is money? That may seem like a really simple question, but it’s actually kind plicated, notes economist Alex Tabarrok. We often think of money as currency (i.e., paper bills and coins), but “money” is anything that is a widely accepted means of payment. Given that there’s no set definition for what makes modity money, there are a few measurements for the U.S. money supplies. In...
All homeschoolers may have to register with the government
The Department of Education has proposed new guidelines that all homeschool parents must register with the government. Officials say the registry, es as a booming number ofchildren are being educated at home,would be used for government officials to check upon students and assure the pupils are receivingthe government’s definition of aquality education. The UK government unveiled the proposal as another controversial policy percolated through the British school system: pulsory classes about homosexual, bisexual, and transgender relationships beginning in primary school.That...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved