The surprise election in Iran of the sole reformist candidate for president was met with an unsurprising reaction from the United States.

　　Heart surgeon Masoud Pezeshkian tallied 53 percent of the vote for a clear but narrow victory over hard-line former nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili in an electoral process the State Department labeled not free or fair.

　　It followed the May 19 death of the previous president in a helicopter crash.

　　With no expectation [of] fundamental change, the perspective from Washington echoed that of Javaid Rehman, the United Nations Special Rapporteur on the Situation of Human Rights in Iran. The Pakistani-British lawyer stated that a new president is unlikely to improve the Islamic Republics record.

　　Iranian Christian sources in the diaspora agree.

　　The result highlights a superficial change in leadership, said Robert Karami, an Iranian Church of England pastor outside London and a board member of Release International, a UK-based advocate for the persecuted church. It does not matter who holds the presidential office as long as the Supreme Leader remains in power.

　　Pezeshkian, age 69, was one of six candidates permitted to run by Irans 12-member Guardian Council, appointed by head of state Grand Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Dozens of candidates were disqualified, including former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Analysts speculated the inclusion of Pezeshkian was intended to increase voter turnoutbut if so, the strategy initially failed and may have backfired.

　　Only 40 percent of the electorate participated in the first round held on June 28, the lowest tally since the 1979 Iranian revolution. It resulted in the first runoff since 2005, leading to a hostile campaign in which leading figures claimed Jalili would rule Iran like the Taliban in Afghanistan. Voters partially responded, as election day on July 5 witnessed an increased turnout of 50 percent.

　　But not Mansour Borji, who boycotted the diaspora ballot stations in the UK.

　　I participated in the election by not voting, joining the majority who said no to the Islamic Republic, said the director of Iranian religious freedom advocacy organization Article18. Nor could I bring myself to do so on the 30th anniversary of pastors killed by the regime.

　　July 5 marked the anniversary of when the last of the three victimstwo of whom were Assemblies of God leaderswas identified in 1994.

　　Borji said that many Iranian Christians likely breathed a sigh of relief that Jalili did not win. His campaign called for strict adherence to Islamic law amid continued confrontation with the West while deepening ties with Russia and China. But as Pezeshkian has acknowledged that foreign policy is in the hands of Khamenei, Borji saw little difference between the two candidates.

　　Both had pledged to improve the economy, which has been in a tailspin since 2018 when Donald Trump unilaterally pulled the US out of the nuclear deal that limited Irans uranium enrichment in exchange for relief from sanctions. At the time the accord was signed under thenUS president Barack Obama, the US dollar equaled 32,000 Iranian rials; it now trades for more than 600,000 rials.

　　Pezeshkian, however, linked improving the economy to negotiations with the US over sanctions, and would unilaterally return Irans nuclear program to compliance with the terms of the original deal. His candidacy was endorsed by Mohammad Zarif, the diplomat who forged the nuclear deal with the US and is speculated to return to his post.

　　Other indicators led Western press to accept Pezeshkians reformist label. Born to an Azeri father and Kurdish mother, he is the first president in decades to hail from Irans west, a region considered more tolerant due to its many minority populationswhich he promised to represent. He counted those who do not pray among his supporters. And he struck a unique figure as a single father campaigning with his daughter at his side, never remarrying after the death of his wife in a 1994 car accident.

　　Pezeshkian also said he would resist hijab enforcement and internet restrictions.

　　But Borji and Karami, the UK pastor, both cited Pezeshkians history as a guardian of Iranian patriarchy. As head of the medical team at the Tabriz hospital, he reduced the number of female students and staff. He also imposed the wearing of the hijab there before it was legally mandatory, and during his 14-year parliamentary tenure he supported the legislation to make it so.

　　Pezeshkian unsuccessfully ran for president in 2013 and 2021, and may have adjusted his beliefsor at least his rhetoric. He criticized the 2022 crackdown on demonstrators that killed 500 people and detained 22,000 others following the death in custody of Mahsa Amini, who had violated the hijab law. He even stated it was scientifically impossible to implement religious faith through force.

　　But Karami said he also called the protests beneficial for the enemies of Iran.

　　Pezeshkian projects an image of modernity and reform, he said. But most Iranians view his ascension as a strategic maneuver by the Supreme Leader to buy time and appease the West.

　　Borji agreed, calling the election a circus to garner legitimacy for Iran.

　　Pezeshkian may be a heart surgeon, he said. But he doesnt have the power or strategy to win over the hearts of the majority.

　　Heart change, however, is the necessary solution, said Nathan Rostampour.

　　My only hope for Iran is Jesus Christ, said the Persian ministry director for Summit Church in North Carolina and a trustee of the Southern Baptist Conventions International Mission Board. There are no real reformists in the system, anywaythey are all in prison.

　　Rostampour said that Irans local church must focus on the Great Commission, emphasize discipleship, and become shining examples of the love of God through social service. Traditional reform is impossible, as the regime controls everything.

　　And it continues to persecute Christians. Last year, 166 followers of Christ were arrested, one-third of whom were involved in Bible distribution. And while Pezeshkian has made overtures to Irans ethnic and religious minorities, especially Sunni Muslims, will heor can headvance religious freedom for converts from Islam?

　　One survey finds Iranian Christians now number almost 1 million.

　　While Pezeshkians win is ostensibly a victory for reform, it ultimately signifies little in the broader context of Iranian politics, said Karami. Until the power structure is fundamentally changed, the future for Christians remains bleak.