Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
5 Facts About the Iowa Caucus
5 Facts About the Iowa Caucus
Feb 11, 2026 10:37 PM

Tonightthe nominating process for the U.S. presidential elections officially begins when voters in Iowa meet for the caucuses. Here are five factsyou should know about what has, since 1972, been the first electoral event of each election season:

1. A caucus is a meeting of supporters or members of a specific political party or movement. To participate in the Iowa Caucus, political supporters show up at a one of the 1,681 precincts (church, school munity center, etc.) at a specific time (Monday, February 1, starting at 7 p.m. CST).

2. For the Republicans, the process is straightforward: Caucus goers cast a ballot for their preferred candidate, and national convention delegates are awarded proportionally based on the results. For the Democrats, the process is plicated. As Rebecca Kaplan explains:

First, voters show up to their precinct site. Then they’ll divide into presidential preference groups for the candidates they are supporting. For a candidate to be awarded any delegates out of that precinct, they’ll need to be “viable”—that is, they must have the support of at least 15 percent (or, in some cases, more) of the people in attendance.

If a candidate is not viable, their supporters can try to win over other caucus goers to meet the required threshold. Or they can disband and support the viable candidates. Their other option is to remain mitted entirely.

Based on the final results of the preference vote, each candidate will receive a proportional number of the county convention delegates, and “state delegate equivalents.” The exact delegate selection continues at the county and state conventions later in 2016, but generally reflects the presidential preference vote.

3. In 2012, evangelicals participated in the Republican Caucus at twice the rate of their population in Iowa (28 percent of the state’s population identifies as evangelical yet prise 57 percent of Republican caucus participants. That year 32 percent supported Rick Santorum. Ron Paul received 18 percent of the evangelical vote while Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney took 14 percent each. (No similar religious polling was conducted for the Democratic Caucus in either 2008 or 2012.)

4. On the Democratic side, in the last 10caucuses(1976 to 2012):

• 5 caucuses included an incumbent President or Vice-President (1980: Carter; 1984: Mondale; 1996: Clinton; 2000: Al Gore; 2012: Obama). The incumbent always won thecaucusand the nomination, and 3 of the 5 times they also won in the general election (1980: Carter; 1996: Clinton; 2012: Obama).

• Of the 5 times when there was no incumbent, only 2 won both thecaucusand the nomination (2004: Kerry; 2008: Obama). The non-incumbent caucuses predicted the Democratic nominee only 40 percent of the time and the eventual president only 20 percent of the time.

• In 1972 and 1976, mitted” received more support than the eventual nominee (1972: McGovern; 1976: Carter).

5.On the Republican side, in the last 10caucuses(1976 to 2012):

• 5 caucuses included an incumbent President or Vice-President (1976: Ford; 1984: Reagan; 1988: George H.W. Bush; 1992: George H.W. Bush; 2004: George W. Bush). The incumbent lost thecaucusand won the nomination only once (1988: George H.W. Bush).

• Of the 5 with no incumbent, only 2 won both thecaucusand the nomination (1996: Bob Dole; 2000: George W. Bush). The non-incumbent caucuses predicted the Republican nominee only 40 percent of the time and the eventual president only 20 percent of the time.

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
Sound of Freedom Is a Clarion Call for More Christians in the Arts
The box office success of this Jim Caviezel–starring true story of a Christian hero has gladdened the hearts of conservatives while provoking snide dismissals from many in the mainstream press. Will this prove inspiration for a Christian cinematic renaissance? Read More… This year’s Fourth of July moviegoing experience was a surprise. The top draw at the box office was not a feel-good blockbuster but a thriller about child sex trafficking. It’s called Sound of Freedom and stars Jim Caviezel, of...
A Win for Religious Employees
A recent SCOTUS decision has clarified what “undue hardship” means for employers asked to modate religious employees. It’s long overdue, and rather than creating some new “preference,” it ensures that the original intention of the First Amendment is respected. Read More… As it turns out, the Supreme Court last week opted against transforming the United States into a totalitarian, theocratic hellscape like the New York Times’ Linda Greenhouse had prophesied in January. In fact, the entire left wing of the...
An All-American Asteroid City
Wes Anderson, known for his self-conscious, tableaux-laden tales of arch strangeness, e home to America after sojourning the world. What he has discovered here is a country many miss. Read More… During his past decade or so of directing, Wes Anderson has done his darnedest to make audiences forget he’s an American. His most recent films have been set in elaborately imagined fictional versions of Budapest (2014’s The Grand Budapest Hotel), Japan (2018’s Isle of Dogs), and France (2021’s The...
Affirmative Action and the Imago Dei
Race-based college admissions has been judged unconstitutional. So everything has finally been set right. Right? Read More… In the days since the Supreme Court handed down its landmark ruling in Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard, the media have been saturated with sympathetic personal stories of plished people who claim they (or others claim) would never have had a chance at success without race-based affirmative action policies in college admissions. They are almost all from munities and graduated under trying...
Hope for America Lies in a Grateful Heart
What can conservatism contribute to our nation right now? Not only tried and true ideas but also deep gratitude for a rich cultural inheritance. Read More… “Gratitude is not only the greatest of virtues, but the parent of all the others.” —Cicero, Pro Plancio, 54 B.C. Whenever I act out of anger or fear, I make mistakes—sometimes serious mistakes. Whenever I embrace gratitude as a guiding principle, I find joy and reward. Maybe the same can be said not just...
The Taliban Exploit Islam to Protect Their Illegitimate Rule
Authoritarian and dictatorial regimes have been using the hardest-line interpretation of the Islamic faith to oppress women and thereby prevent democratic reforms. It’s time for more Muslims in the West who enjoy democratic freedoms to speak up. Read More… Afghanistan, following the American withdrawal in 2021, has gained attention for several reasons, but the most prominent among them is the Taliban’s exploitation of Islam to suppress women and legitimize their illegitimate hold on power. The Taliban have banned women from...
Inside the Fight to Bring Transparency to Woke Corporations
The 1792 Exchange is a nonprofit whose mission is to “develop policy and resources to protect and equip nonprofits, small businesses, and philanthropy from ‘woke’ corporations.” But how effective is it? Read More… The fight against corporate “wokeness” is mobilizing customers and grabbing headlines across the country. From Bud Light losing its status as America’s top beer after sparking conservative ire, to Pride Month boycotts of Target costing pany billions, it’s ing increasingly clear that right-leaning Americans are taking renewed...
Who Is a Libertarian?
It’s plicated than you think. A new book takes a detailed look at all the peting definitions, and enormous resources that the libertarian movement brings to discussions of a free market and a free people. Read More… In their new book, The Individualists: Radicals, Reactionaries, and the Struggle for the Soul of Libertarianism, Matt Zwolinski and John Tomasi have created an exhaustive and fascinating history of the libertarian movement and its animating philosophies. While for many, the term hardly existed...
The Forever (Catholic) Philosophy
How do we know what’s real? For that matter, how do we know what we know? An introduction to philosophy in the Catholic tradition is a great place to look for answers. Read More… If you are looking for an accessible introduction to philosophy in the Catholic tradition, James M. Jacobs’ new book, Seat of Wisdom, is a great place to begin. To be sure, any entrance into philosophy takes patience and hard thinking, and Jacobs’ book is no exception,...
The “National Apostasy” of John Keble
Perhaps not a name familiar to many, yet 190 years ago today John Keble lit a fire of church renewal that continues to burn, even beyond the parishes of England. Read More… From the 1830s onward, a movement developed in the Church of England that sought to reclaim a classic High Church tradition within Anglicanism that gave weight to the apostolic succession, sacraments, the Christian year and festivals, and liturgical order. Some, though not all, within this group sought to...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved