Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
5 Facts About the Iowa Caucus
5 Facts About the Iowa Caucus
Nov 19, 2024 5:19 PM

Tonightthe nominating process for the U.S. presidential elections officially begins when voters in Iowa meet for the caucuses. Here are five factsyou should know about what has, since 1972, been the first electoral event of each election season:

1. A caucus is a meeting of supporters or members of a specific political party or movement. To participate in the Iowa Caucus, political supporters show up at a one of the 1,681 precincts (church, school munity center, etc.) at a specific time (Monday, February 1, starting at 7 p.m. CST).

2. For the Republicans, the process is straightforward: Caucus goers cast a ballot for their preferred candidate, and national convention delegates are awarded proportionally based on the results. For the Democrats, the process is plicated. As Rebecca Kaplan explains:

First, voters show up to their precinct site. Then they’ll divide into presidential preference groups for the candidates they are supporting. For a candidate to be awarded any delegates out of that precinct, they’ll need to be “viable”—that is, they must have the support of at least 15 percent (or, in some cases, more) of the people in attendance.

If a candidate is not viable, their supporters can try to win over other caucus goers to meet the required threshold. Or they can disband and support the viable candidates. Their other option is to remain mitted entirely.

Based on the final results of the preference vote, each candidate will receive a proportional number of the county convention delegates, and “state delegate equivalents.” The exact delegate selection continues at the county and state conventions later in 2016, but generally reflects the presidential preference vote.

3. In 2012, evangelicals participated in the Republican Caucus at twice the rate of their population in Iowa (28 percent of the state’s population identifies as evangelical yet prise 57 percent of Republican caucus participants. That year 32 percent supported Rick Santorum. Ron Paul received 18 percent of the evangelical vote while Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney took 14 percent each. (No similar religious polling was conducted for the Democratic Caucus in either 2008 or 2012.)

4. On the Democratic side, in the last 10caucuses(1976 to 2012):

• 5 caucuses included an incumbent President or Vice-President (1980: Carter; 1984: Mondale; 1996: Clinton; 2000: Al Gore; 2012: Obama). The incumbent always won thecaucusand the nomination, and 3 of the 5 times they also won in the general election (1980: Carter; 1996: Clinton; 2012: Obama).

• Of the 5 times when there was no incumbent, only 2 won both thecaucusand the nomination (2004: Kerry; 2008: Obama). The non-incumbent caucuses predicted the Democratic nominee only 40 percent of the time and the eventual president only 20 percent of the time.

• In 1972 and 1976, mitted” received more support than the eventual nominee (1972: McGovern; 1976: Carter).

5.On the Republican side, in the last 10caucuses(1976 to 2012):

• 5 caucuses included an incumbent President or Vice-President (1976: Ford; 1984: Reagan; 1988: George H.W. Bush; 1992: George H.W. Bush; 2004: George W. Bush). The incumbent lost thecaucusand won the nomination only once (1988: George H.W. Bush).

• Of the 5 with no incumbent, only 2 won both thecaucusand the nomination (1996: Bob Dole; 2000: George W. Bush). The non-incumbent caucuses predicted the Republican nominee only 40 percent of the time and the eventual president only 20 percent of the time.

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
Radio Free Acton: Mollie Ziegler Hemingway on fake news; Upstream on Fleet Foxes and R.E.M.
In this newest edition of Radio Free Acton, Mollie Ziegler Hemingway, senior editor at The Federalist, talks with Sarah Stanley, managing editor at the Acton Institute. Mollie explains how distrust for news in the media has grown and how integrity in journalism can be reclaimed. Mollie’s conversation with Sarah is a sampling of an ing Acton lecture series event taking place on September 28th. Bruce Edward Walker then speaks with writer and musician, Robert Dean Lurie about the newest Fleet...
The $15 minimum wage is most likely to hurt ‘economically weaker’ areas
The scenario is familiar: Ontario has passed legislation to raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour, and a new report warns that could increase unemployment. Significant evidence reinforces concerns that this well-intentioned change will harm the poor. Premier Kathleen Wynne announced the minimum wage would rise from $11.40 to $15 an hour across Canada’s most populous province by 2019. That boosts the minimum by nearly one-third. A new report from the Fraser Institute warns such a steep hike leads...
Hurricanes as schools of charity
The only force greater than the destruction wrought by this summer’s hellish hurricanes is the solidarity written indelibly upon the human heart. The acts of charity they galvanize show the power of voluntary efforts springing from voluntarism, virtue, passion. Unfortunately, natural disasters often inspire calls for more government intervention, either to fight climate change or to preserve the temporary sense of national unity they create. But Steve Stapleton writesthat “the default position of a free people in a free society...
On man vs. robots, don’t trust the economic models
Given the breakneck pace of improvements in automation and artificial intelligence, fears about job loss are taking more space in the cultural imagination.Symbolized by President Obama’s famous laments about ATM machines and the more recent concerns about Amazon’s “job-killing” grocery-store roboclerks, the anxiety is palpable and persistent. Enter the economic planners and doomsayers, using elaborate models and forecasts to affirm such fears, predicting the rise of robot overlords and the demise of human labor. Take the famous 2013 study by...
What you should know about the Graham-Cassidy Obamacare repeal bill
What is Graham-Cassidy? Graham-Cassidy is the shorthand title for a proposal introduced by Senators Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Bill Cassidy (R-LA) to repeal and replace Obamacare. Does this legislation “repeal and replace” Obamacare? As with the previous three Republican proposals, the answer is yes and no (but overall, not really). No, the Graham-Cassidy does pletely repeal Obamacare in toto and it merely replaces some aspects of the current law. But yes, it does repeal certain aspects of Obamacare and in...
If you hate poverty, you should love capitalism
Did you know that since 1970, the percentage of humanity living in extreme poverty has fallen 80 percent? How did that happen? Arthur Brooks, president of the American Enterprise Institute, explains. ...
Samuel Gregg: ‘First Things,’ R.R. Reno, and the market economy
The role of free market economics in the West should not be off-limits for debate among religious conservatives. As Samuel Gregg writes in a new essay, that standard should “provide philosophical and theological guidance about how to ground free economies—and liberal institutions more generally—upon more solid foundations than the peculiar mixes of utilitarianism, autonomy-for-autonomy’s sake, and pseudo-evolutionary theory advocated by some liberal thinkers.” In a new article, First Things editor R. R. Reno makes claims about the market economy and...
The connection between property rights and religious freedom
According to Founding Father James Madison, “the rights of persons and the rights of property” constituted the “two cardinal objects of government.” And the “most sacred form of property,” according to Madison, was an individual’s conscience since “other property depending in part on positive law, the exercise of that, being a natural and inalienable right . . .” Both property and conscience (religious freedom) have been considered foundational rights. But what exactly do they have mon? More than we may...
Millennials, marriage, and the ‘success sequence’
“What if large causes of poverty are not matters of material distribution but are behavioral — bad choices and the cultures that produce them? If so, policymakers must rethink their confidence in social salvation through economic abundance.” –George Will According to a recent report from the U.S. Census Bureau, the values and priorities of young adults are shifting dramatically from those of generations past. As it relates to family in particular, millennials are pursuing a range of nontraditional routes, either...
Rev. Robert Sirico praises President Trump’s recent remarks about Venezuela
President and Co-Founder of the Acton Institute, Rev. Robert Sirico is quoted in an article published at Crux, praising President Trump for his remarks concerning Venezuela’s current social and economic state of chaos. “The problem in Venezuela is not that socialism has been poorly implemented, but that socialism has been faithfully implemented,” said Trump on Tuesday in his first address to the General Assembly of the United Nations. Sirico tells Crux that he was “relieved and encouraged to hear President...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2024 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved