America’s central economic problem is preserving the nations capacity to sustain growth vigorous enough to counteract an impending fiscal crisis of escalating national debt. Part of the reason that growth has declined in the last decades is the stifling force of over-regulation. The new administration’s sweeping agenda for regulatory rollback thus need not represent merely political posturing, but has the potential to address one of the most profound threats confronting contemporary America. To understand its rationale and architecture is to grasp a bold attempt at putting the nation’s financial house in order and preserving its future prosperity.
An aggressive deregulatory agenda provides the most plausible political response to Americas fiscal dilemma—the surge of the national debt. At approximately 120 percent of GDP in 2023, this debt eclipses even the level during the expansive Great Society programs and the Vietnam War, which in 1969 stood at a mere 35 percent. The budget is also now composed of types of spending that are difficult to cut and on autopilot to rise; old-age entitlements alone, currently comprising about 36 percent of the federal budget, threaten to include more than half of all federal expenditures within a generation. Coupled with necessary defense spending at around 16 percent and rising interest obligations at around 13 percent, the federal governments fiscal maneuverability rapidly diminishes. Cuts in discretionary spending, already whittled down as a percentage of the national budget, will not reverse the trajectory of debt by themselves. Moreover, substantial reductions would likely require congressional agreement.
Neither party today seriously entertains the possibility of raising taxes sufficiently to curb this spiraling debt. Democrats propose increasing taxes only on the wealthiest two percent, a move insufficient to stabilize the nations finances, particularly since higher taxes on this productive segment dampens overall economic vitality. Republicans, meanwhile, continue to pursue further tax cuts. It is also true that neither party has a program to curb the growth in old-age entitlements in a nation with an aging population.
Given this political landscape, significant economic growth—fueled by broad deregulation—provides the only remedy for the growing debt. A swelling national debt does not merely threaten economic prosperity; it undermines America’s fiscal capacity to meet unforeseen crises, jeopardizing national security.
This deregulatory program also aligns with the most important social development of our time: artificial intelligence. AI represents an unprecedented innovation, the mass production of intelligence itself, potentially to be integrated into all facets of economic activity. The productivity enhancements AI promises can yield sustained economic expansion—but only if regulatory barriers do not bottle up innovation and prevent it from suffusing the entire economy.
The presence of tech leaders at President Trump’s inauguration symbolized the importance of AI right from the beginning of his administration, and his immediate reversal of President Bidens restrictive AI regulations signaled a clear commitment to unleashing AIs potential. Vice President J. D. Vance’s unequivocal statement in Paris that “AI’s future will not be owned by handwringing about safety” captures the administration’s recognition that deregulation must move swiftly and decisively to unlock the full economic promise of AI.
It is good that our leaders recognize the importance of creating a healthy regulatory environment, but there is plenty more work to be done. Three central pillars support a coherent deregulatory strategy: transparency, presidential control, and substantive deregulation where permitted by law. Thus far, many of the new administrations statements and actions accord with them.
The first pillar emphasizes transparency, arguably the simplest and most broadly appealing component of deregulation. One of the Trump administration’s initial actions was to restore a directive from his first administration requiring that all agency guidance documents be publicly accessible online in one centralized location. This executive order also mandated a notice-and-comment period prior to the issuance of agency guidance. Such a process enables affected individuals and businesses to identify overlooked compliance costs, fostering more rational regulation. Permitting regulated parties to demand declaratory orders to clarify agency regulations would also help citizens avoid unfair regulatory ambushes by agencies. By clarifying government expectations, transparency reduces uncertainty, enabling businesses to plan with greater confidence and spurring economic growth.
Deregulation, if carefully structured and rigorously pursued, presents a genuine opportunity to boost American economic prosperity.
The second deregulatory pillar is robust presidential oversight. Trump has strengthened executive review through orders expanding the authority of the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA), a critical instrument of centralized presidential control established by President Reagan in 1981. Recently, Trump extended OIRA’s oversight to encompass independent regulatory agencies like the Federal Trade Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission. These agencies are now required to submit significant regulatory actions to OIRA for comprehensive cost-benefit analysis to the extent permitted by law and adhere to statutory interpretations provided by the Office of Legal Counsel. Bringing in the independent agencies under the umbrella of presidential regulatory review assures that the president’s directives will be fully reflected across the entire federal government.
Further underscoring his commitment to executive oversight, Trump has directly asserted presidential authority by removing certain commissioners, notably at the National Labor Relations Board, whose terms traditionally offered protection from dismissal without cause. While some of these removals have prompted legal challenges, their intent is clear: removing bureaucratic obstacles to regulatory reform. Moreover, Trumps proposed Schedule F employment category for civil servants involved in policy decisions further aims to streamline presidential policy implementation by reducing bureaucratic resistance. Republican presidents are likely to meet more such resistance because the federal bureaucracy leans sharply left.
Another order requires agencies to provide the best interpretation of the statute, not simply the reasonable interpretation to which courts in the past were supposed to defer under the precedent of Chevron defence. This rule is premised on the well-grounded assumption that most “reasonable” as opposed to correct interpretations of statutes tended to favor more regulation. A reasonable interpretation of a statute that permits more regulation than a correct one makes bureaucrats more powerful and increases the value of their outside options. While one might think that regulated companies may have substantial power to push back on excessive “reasonable” regulation, they often like more expansive regulation to create an expensive moat that makes it more difficult for new smaller upstarts to storm the citadels of their established businesses. Since AI can help fledgling companies grow fast, moving to the correct interpretation of statutes that are likely less expansive should help bring the benefits of AI to the marketplace as well as reduce regulatory compliance costs generally.
The third pillar of a coherent deregulatory approach involves substantive reforms crafted specifically to dismantle entrenched regulatory inefficiencies and curb the relentless expansionism of administrative agencies. One high-profile directive mandates that agencies remove ten existing regulations for every new rule they implement. Although dramatic on its face, this policy addresses a genuine and critical problem: regulatory ossification—the stubborn persistence of outdated rules due to cumbersome procedures required for their repeal. By forcing agencies regularly to reassess old regulations, the administration ensures that government rules remain relevant, efficient, and less burdensome. Trump also has ordered agencies to raise the discount rate for future benefits and costs of regulation back to what it was before Biden lowered it in order to create “a better benefit-cost picture of costly regulations that promise future benefits.”
Beyond these cross-cutting reforms, Trump’s administration thus far has implemented substantive deregulation in crucial economic sectors. He issued executive orders aimed explicitly at increasing domestic energy production and established an executive branch council dedicated exclusively to energy deregulation. These actions will broadly lower energy costs and bolster economic growth. More specifically, they will directly facilitate the advancement of artificial intelligence—a technology that fundamentally relies on abundant and affordable electricity, embedding intelligence as seamlessly into the broader economy as electricity itself.
Trump’s decisive actions against Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) programs at colleges represent another significant facet of substantive deregulation. DEI policies had transformed opportunities from merit-based allocations to identity-based distributions, thereby undermining economic efficiency. By prioritizing merit and talent over identity, Trumps deregulatory measures ensure optimal allocation of talent, maximizing economic productivity and growth. As Heather Mac Donald has compellingly documented, DEI regulations had even begun encroaching upon STEM fields, the very disciplines essential to Americas continued innovation and economic dynamism.
If the Trump administration is indeed committed to serious domestic deregulation, it would be profoundly consequential. The credibility of its promise to Make America Great Again hinges on achieving accelerated economic growth, revitalizing public confidence, and averting fiscal dangers. Cutting discretionary spending will not make much of a dent in the debt. Tariffs will not ignite economic growth. Instead, it is deregulation, if carefully structured and rigorously pursued, that presents a genuine opportunity to boost American economic prosperity, particularly given the opportunities AI will present. When unjustified regulation retreats, individual creativity and innovation flourish, turning liberty itself into the engine of national prosperity and renewal.